The “Exit Music For Shorts ?” roadmap for monday, 2014/10/27, featuring standard_and_poor”

MARKET UPDATE FOR FRIDAY, 2014/10/24, AND STRATEGY FOR MONDAY (written 2014/10/27):
SPX: 1964.58, +13.76, +0.71%

providing profitable and actionable short term, intermediate term and long term trading signals since 2011 using unique proprietary models and indicators.

On Thursday’s close of 2014/10/23 the proprietary Elliott “PSTT” finally switched to BUY.
Also on Thursday the proprietary big cap model switched to a BUY at +6.
All intermediate models remain on a buy as do all long term models.
The only incendiary flies (haha, fire flies) in the ointment are the ebola fright and the excessively high bullish a,a.i.i. sentiment numbers. There is a minute possibility that a b wave top is culminating with the possibility of a swift c wave drop below the prior corrective “a” wave low spx 1820.66.

Both large cap and qqq short term models are on BUY signals.

The heaven/hell crash indicator today is at +8. A rare -10 indicates a high probability of at least a 10% mini crash.

The intermediate smart money model remains on a steadfast BUY and has signaled a fresh secondary buy point as of last Friday’s close.

Long term models for investors with a one year horizon or longer remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

A BRIEF REVIEW OF SOME PROPRIETARY INDICATORS FOR MONDAY:
(click on “ABOUT” button at top of blog page next to the ocean scene for a brief description of my indicators) All short term and intermediate term indicators are on a scale of +10 to -10 except the Elliott PSTT indicator. (*) indicates a change in indicator position.
*+the elliott “PSTT” switched to a BUY on the close of 2014/10/23. Previously it had flipped to a SELL on 2014/09/23.
*+the large cap indicator today is at + up from the last session. It switched to a BUY on 2014/10/23 at +6 Previously it went on a SELL on 2014 2014/09/24.
+the qqq indicator today is has switched to a BUY on 2014/10/22 at +8 up 3 points from the last session after having been on a SELL since 2014/09/23.
-the gold stock indicator remains on a SELL at -8, down 2 from the last session.
+the intermediate term smart money indicator switched to a BUY on, 2014/09/18 and remains on a buy, and has signaled a secondary entry buy point on Friday’s close, 2014/10/17. This indicator signals early at times.
+the heaven/hell crash indicator (usually only calculated on Friday’s) switched to a BUY on Wednesday, 2014/10/22,when it hit +6, it is currently at +8, up 10 from last Friday’s -2. This indicator went on a SELL on 2014/09/25 at -8. This Friday’s reading is rather bullish for the next several weeks usually. A -10 reading indicates a high probability of a crash ala 2008 within days to a few weeks.
+all long term equity indicators (for investor’s with at least a one year horizon) remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

TODAY’S REAL TIME TWEETS:
• #GASL : long a 5% alloc. at 13.65, using a 12.59 stop. standardpoor.wordpress.com 3 days ago
• #ERX: long a 5% alloc. at 80.41. https://standard.poor.wordpress. com 3 days ago

CURRENT TOTAL PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:
includes 5 long term folios of all long positions to be held for at least one year ( each folio was originally a 10% long allocation except for the small cap 2014/10/17 folio which has a 5% long allocation) and the following short term positions in “current holdings”, hedgehog folio(s) with a total 4% allocation and the leveraged etf folio with a total 4% allocation . the bigcap folio started on 2013/03/05 was closed with a 48.06% profit versus spy’s +25.50% gain during the same period. Does not include Napa Valley sub account or options (if under 1% each).
101.5% invested, 96.5% effectively long.

THIS WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES (all trades, always reviewed, both profits and losses alike):
(*) denotes a new closed trade for today.
*-GASL: On 2014/10/24 closed a 5% long alloc. of gasl at 12.70, on 2014/10/23 bought a 5% long alloc. of gasl at 13.65 per tweet, for a 6.96%/$3480 loss.
+ SPXL: . On 2014/10/22 closed a 10% long alloc. per rt tweet at 72.92, on 2014/10/21 bought a 10% long alloc. per rt tweet at 71.89, for a 1.43%/$1,143 profit.
+ BIB: On 2014/1022 closed a 5% alloc. at 105..05 per rt tweet, on 2014/10/21 added a 10% long alloc. at 103.89 per rt tweet, for a 1.11$/$1,111 profit.
+2faced long folio: on 2014/10/14 the 2faced long folio was closed per real time tweet, on 2014/10/09 a 10% allocation of the following stocks were purchased: rdus gpro, ttph, mnov, espr,apt, lake, true, nvtl, fold, vimc., , for a 14.37%/$16,504 profit.
+2faced short folio:
on 201410/10 a 10% short allocation of the following stocks were added: BAXS, DLIA, FREE, GTAT, KWK, ONCY AND VPCO, on 2014/10/14 per real time tweet the folio was closed for a 11.11%/$11,100 profit

THE CURRENT HOLDINGS IN $1MM PORTFOLIO AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/10/24
all trades are triggered by my nightly mkt. update plan unless noted other wise.
(*) denotes a change in holdings from prior trading day’s close.
1A. ESZ14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): flat.
1B. UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : 30% long. On 2014/10/22 added a 15% short allocation at 29.76. On 2014/10/20 a 10% short allocation of uvxy was added at 37.62 per real time tweet, on 2014/10/21 a 5% short allocation of uvxy was added at 32.06 per real time tweet.
2. NUGT: flat.
3. TNA: 2.5% long. On 2014/10/17 a 5% long alloc. of tna was added at 61.54
3A. TZA: flat.
4: SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXS: flat.
5.JNUG: 5% short. On 2014/10/22 shorted a 5% alloc. at 9.96.
5A. JDST: flat.
6.TWTR: flat.
7. FB: flat.
8.PLUG: flat.
9. AAPL: flat.
10. NFLX: flat.
11. TSLA: flat.
12. USLV: flat.
13. 2 faced longs folio: on 2014/10/16 added 11 stocks for a 1% total allocation on 2014/10/16- apt, dpw, edmc, eman, bio, lake, nsph, prts, vsr, xco, sam.
14. BIB: flat.
15. 2faced longs 3x etfs: on 2014/10/21 bought a 10% allocation of the following 13 triple leveraged etfs per rt tweet (etfs not mentioned specifically in tweet due to lack of time), bib, drn, erx, matl, midu, soxl, svxy, tna, umdd, uym and xiv.
16. ERX: 5% long. On 2014/10/23 bought a 5% long allocation at 80.41 per tweet.
*17. GASL: Flat.

.

THE PLAN for MONDAY 2014/10/27 (current holdings,trade signal/plan, protective stops):
(*) denotes a change in position, trade signal/plan or protective stop from prior trading day’s plan.
1A: ESZ14(s&p 500 e-mini december 2014 futures): Flat. No signal. (this is usually traded in the napa valley account)
1B: UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage): 30% short. No stop yet.
2. NUGT: flat. NO signal.
3. TNA: 2.5% long from 61.54. No stop.
3A. TZA: flat. No signal.
4. SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXA: flat. No signal.
*5. JNUG: 5% short. 9.15 stop on only half of position.
5A. JDST: flat. No signal.
6. TWTR: flat. No signal.
7. FB: flat. NO signal.
8. PLUG: flat. No signal.
9. AAPL: flat. No signal.
10. NFLX: flat. No signal.
11. TSLA: flat. No signal.
12. USLV: flat.
13. 2 faced longs folio:on 2014/10/16 for a total 1% allocation bought the following – apt, dpw, edmc, eman, bio, lake, nsph, prts, vsr, xco. Sam.
14. BIB: flat.
15. 2faced longs 3x etfs: on 2014/10/21 bought a 10% allocation of the following 13 triple leveraged etfs per rt tweet (etfs not mentioned specifically in tweet due to lack of time), bib, drn, erx, matl, midu, soxl, svxy, tna, umdd, uym and xiv.
16. ERX: 5% long. No stop yet.
*17. GASL: flat. Shorting a 5% allocation at 12.59.

The $50,000 NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT STRATEGY AND HOLDINGS:
(*) indicates a change in holdings, stop, or strategy.
This strategy shouldn’t make more than 20-30 round turn trades during a year.
To make things interesting for me I will only trades spx futures in this account for the near term. I will usually trade five to six contracts at a maximum in either the long or short side.
*ESZ14 (December spx futures): per Friday’s update, long 5 contracts at 1895.75, each esz14 point is worth $50.00.

THIS WEEK’S NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT CLOSED TRADES:
ESZ14 (December spx futures): none
Closed Trade Balance is currently $48,888.

The NEW “2014/09/01 LEVERAGED ETF FOLIO” (goal is to hold for at least three months):
The following were added at the open on 2014/09/12, a 0.5% allocation of each, hence 4.00% long in aggregate:
1. DRN: long at 65.10.
2. EDC: long at 118.70.
3. ERX: long at 122.86.
4. INDL: long at 103.27.
5. LBJ: long at 30.79.
6. SOXL: long at 118.57.
7. TMF: long at 68.70.
8. XIV: (not a leveraged etf) long at 43.41.

HEDGEHOG A:
As of 2014/08/14 short a 1.0% allocation of uvxy at 24.98 and short a 3.0% allocation of tmv at 43.18.

HEDGEHOG B:
no positions yet.

ALL TARGETS AND STOPS MAY BE ADJUSTED INTRA-DAY AS MARKET CONDITIONS CHANGE. I attempt to post changes via real time
twitter tweets.

PRIOR WEEK’S $1MM REGULAR ACCT. CLOSED TRADES:
+USLV: On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% long allocation at 28.25, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 17.37%/$4,343 profit.
+UVXY:On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 31.55, on 2014/10/10 bought a 10% uvxy alloc. at 31.50, for a break even trade.
-UVXY: On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% short allocation of uvxy at 31.24, on 2014/10/08 originally shorted a 20% alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 27.47, for a 13.72%.$13,720 loss.
-. UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/10/08 originally shorted a 20% alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 27.47, on 2014/10/09 closed a 10% alloc. of uvxy shorts at 30.22 per real time tweet, for a 10.0%/$10,000 loss.
– UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/10/07 closed a 15% short alloc. at 28.75,on 2014/10/06 shorted a 15% allocation of uvxy at 25.34, for a 13.45%/$20,185 loss.
On 2014/10/07 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 28.75, on 2014/10/03 shorted a 2.5% alloc. at 28.30, for a
1.59%/$1,590 loss. On 2014/10/07 closed a 10% short alloc. at 28.75 per tweet, on 2014/10/03 shorted a 10% alloc. at 26.61 for a 8.04%/$8,042 loss.
-UVXY: on 2014/10/02 closed a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 29.91 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/10/02 bought a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 32.51, for a 7.99%/$1,999 loss.
+UVXY: on 2014/10/01 closed a 15% long alloc. of uvxy at avg. price of 32.26, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 29.87%/$44,805 profit.
+UVXY: on 2014/09/30 closed a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 28.45 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 14.53%/$7,266 profit.
-Small cap 2014-08-13 folio, a 10% allocation, closed this morning (per tweet) with an approximate 2.5% loss, more details later.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : a.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 27.15 per real time tweet. On 2014/09/23 originally bought a 40% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 9.29%/$9,299 profit.
b.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 25.89 per real time tweet for a 4.23%/$4,227 profit.
+ESZ14 (December spx futures): . On 2014/10/01 closed 3 esz14 short contracts at 1936.25, on 2014/09/24 shorted 3 contracts from 1979.25, (shorted when spx broke 1991.00) for a 44.79% profit on margin/$6,450 total profit.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ): On 2014/09/22 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.44 per tweet, closed a 10% short allocation at 23.52 per tweet, closed a 20% short allocation at 24.29 per tweet. On 2014/09/18 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.01 and a 10% allocation at 22.88. On 2014/08/17 shorted a 20% allocation at 23.80. the following losses resulted: 2.45%/$2,450, 2.06%/$4,117.
+USLV: ON 2014/09/19 closed a 2.5% short allocation at 34.17 per twitter, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 6.96%/$1,740 profit.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/09/17 closed a 30 % long allocation at 23.80, on 2014/09/15 bought a 10% allocation of uvxy at 26.26, on 2014/09/10 bought a 20% allocation at 25.10, for a 8.98%/$8,988 loss on the 10% allocation and a 5.18%/$10,358 loss on the 20% allocation
+JNUG: On 2014/09/16 a 5% short alloc. of jnug was closed at 18.79,on 2014/09/03 shorted a 5% alloc. of jnug at 21.80, for a 13.80%/$6,903 profit.
+TWTR: On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of twtr at 49.00, on 2014/08/26 bought a 5% alloc. at 8.11, for a 1.89%/$945 profit.
+ FB: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 55 log alloc. of fb at 77.10,o n 201/09/03 bought a 5% alloc. of fb at 71.70, for a break even trade.
+ NFLX: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of nflx at 474.15, on 2014/08/21 bought a 5% alloc. of nflx at 472.10 per tweet, for a 0.4%/$217 profit.
+ TSLA: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of tsla at 272.45, on 2014/08/29 bought a 5% alloc. at 268.74, for a 1.38%/$690 profit.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/12 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 25.00, On 2014/09/10 bought a 30% long allocation of uvxy at 25.10, for a loss of 0.039% or $398.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/10 near the close closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 24.36, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% allocation of uvxy at 24.19 for a 0.7% loss, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% long allocation of uvxy at 24.60 for a 0.97% loss or about $970.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : on 2014/09/02 closed a 20% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.11 ,on 2014/08/28 bought a 20% long alloc. at 25.54, for a 5.48%/$10,976 loss.
+JNUG: on 2014/08/28 closed a 5% short alloc. at 24.45, on 2014/08/20 shorted a 5% alloc. at 24.45, for a break even trade.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) :on 2014/08/26 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.81,on 2014/08/25 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.20 per tweet, for a 2.62%/$2,629 loss.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/0822 closed the last two esu14 contracts at 1986.00,holding on 2014/08/18 bought 2 contracts at 1950.25, for a 37.20% profit on margin or $3,572.
+ESU14: on 2014/08/20 closed 2 esu14 contracts at 1977.00 for a 22.65% profit on margin or a $2,175 profit.
-JNUG: on 2014/08/20 closed a 5% long alloc. of jnug at 24.45, on 2014/08/12 a 5% long alloc. was bought at 26.67, for a 8.32% loss/$4,162 loss.
+TZA: on 2014/08/20 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. at 14.96, on 2014/08/15 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 1.64%/$821 profit.
SPY, SEPT. 2014 197 calls: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 calls at 3.00, on 2014/08/12 bought 4 at 1.645 (avg.), for a 82.37%/$542 profit..
+ESU14: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 esu longs at 1973.00, one was long from 1952.25, for a $1037.5 profit; three were long from 1950.25, for a $2,375 profit. A total 17.77% profit on margin.
+TZA: on 2014/08/19 closed a 5% short alloc. of tza at 14.84, on 2014/0815 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 2.43%/$1,215 profit.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/18 closed 8 at 1963.25, on 2014/08/18 originally bought 25 (now hold 8) at 1934.50, for a profit of $11,500 or 29.9% profit on margin, or a 1.15% profit on total portfolio.
+ESU14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/15 closed 16 long contracts, at 1952.00, on 2014/08/11 bought 25 contracts of esu14 contracts at 1934.50, for a profit of $14,000 or 18.52% of margin or 1.40% profit on total portfolio.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 15% alloc at 33.27, on 2014/07/28, bought an original 30% alloc. of uvxy at 27.01, for a profit of $34,759/23.17%. on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% long uvxy alloc. at 33.27, on 2014/08/05 bought a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 36.40 per real time tweet, for a $4,295/8.59% loss.
+TNA: on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/27 an original 10% alloc. of tna was shorted at 70.68, for a $625/1.25% profit.
+SPXL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/30 shorted a original 10% alloc. of spxl at 77.18, for a $1690/3.38% profit.
-FB: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. of fb at 73.47, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of fb at 71.99, for a $524/2.62% loss.
+AAPL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. at 95.29, on 2014/08/01 a 2.5% short alloc. of aapl was added at 95.29, for a break even trade.
+GOGO: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 15.55, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2.5% alloc. of gogo at 16.35, for a $978/4.89% profit.
DISCA: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 42.29, on 2014/08/07 shorted a 2.0% alloc. of disca
at a split adjusted 41.14, for a $558/2.79% loss.
-AKAM: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.58, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2% alloc of akam at 56.87, for a $246/2.02% loss.
+FISV: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 61.40, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of fisv was shorted at 61.43, for a break even trade.
-BBY: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 29.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of bby was shorted at 29.12, for a $404/2.02% loss.
+ISRG: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 442.88, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc. of isrg at 445.98, for a break even trade.
STX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.21, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of stx was shorted at 58.07, for $296/3.49% profit.
CERN: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 55.93, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of cern at 54.04, for a$698/3.49% loss.
INTC: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 32.84, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc of intc was shorted at 33.76. for a $544/2.72% profit.
MU: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 30.28, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of mu was shorted at 31.24, for a $614/3.07% profit.
SBUX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 77.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% of sbux was shorted at 77.27 per tweet, for a $112/0.56% loss.
EQIX: on 2014/08/11 closed a2.0% short alloc. at 210.57, on 2014/08/05 shorted a 2% alloc. at 208.99, for a $150/0.75% loss.

CLOSED $10 K NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT TRADES:
(*)denotes a new closed trade for today:
UVXY: On 2014/08/17 closed 40 shares at 23.82, on 2014/09/09 bought 40 shares of uvxy at 24.60, for a 3.09%/$30.41 loss.
FOLD: On 2014/09/10 closed 140 shares at 7.71, On 2014/09/03 bought 40 shares of fold per tweet at 7.01, for a 2.28%/$22.40 profit.
TRUE: on 2014/09/09 closed 50 shares at 22.63, on 2014/09/02 bought 50 shares at 22.63 stop, for a profit of 8.32%/$190.40.
CENX: on 2014/09/09 closed 40 shares at 28.23, on 2014/08/26 bought 40 shares of cenx at 23.43 for a profit of 20.3%/$190.40.
ACHN: on 2014/09/05 closed 80 shares, on 2014/09/03 bought 80 shares at 12.57, for a break even trade.
ZEN: On 2014/09/05 closed 40 shares at 24.47, on 2014/09/02 bought 40 shares at 27.69 for a 10.65%/$116.80 loss.
GILD: on 2014/09/05 closed 10 shares at 106.45, on 2014/08/27 bought 10 shares of gild at 106.50, for a break even trade.
SLCA: on 2014/09/05 closed 15 shares at 66.75, on 2014/08/25 bought 15 shares of slca at 66.74. for break even.
UVXY: forgot to report yesterday, stop taken out. On 2014/09/03 closed 20 long shares at 24.12, for a 5.37%/$18 loss.
TRLA: On 2014/09/03 closed all 16 trla shares at 62.19, on 2014/08/26 bought 16 shares of trla at at 61.35, for a 1.36%/$13 profit.
HTCH: On 2014/09/03 closed all 200 shares of htch at 4.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 200 shares of htch at 4.50, for a 3.55%/$32.00 profit.
EMES: On 2014/09/03 closed all 4 shares of emes at 135.69, on 2014/08/28 bought 4 shares of emes at 135.49, for a break even trade. 0%
ATHM: on 2014/09/02 closed 20 shares at 46.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 20 shares of athm at 56.52. for a 17.50%/$198 loss.
PLNR: on 2014/08/22 closed 250 plnr at 4.35 per tweet, bought 400 at 4.16 on 2014/08/19, for a 4.56%/$47.50 profit.
AMKR: on 2014/08/22 closed 100 amkr at 10.00 per tweet, long 100 at 9.68 on 2014/08/19, for a 2.45%/$24 profit.
SUMR: on 2014/08/22 closed 240 SUMR at 4.69, on 2014/08/19 bought 240sumr at 4.08, for a 14.85%/$146 profit.
WPCS: on 2014/08/21 closed 890 at 1.02, on 2014/08/19 bought 890 at1.12, for a 8.92%/$89 loss.
PAM: on 2014/08/21 closed 100 at 9.19, on 2014/08/19 bought 100 at 9.76, for a 5.84%/$57 loss.
CIG: on 2014/08/21 closed 120 at 8.77, on 2014/08/19 bought 120 at 8.64, for a 1.50%/$15.60 profit.

click on the “ABOUT” button to the right of the “home” button at top of ocean background for indicator details.
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Disclaimer:
This is my on-line trading journal. Standardpoor.wordpress.com, my on-line trading journal or blog, is purely for educational purposes only. Information from this blog and blogs that I follow (listed here) is not investment advice and should not be misconstrued as investment advice from this blog owner. Readers should not attempt to mimic my trades as they can be volatile and financially hazardous.

The “Monster Suedehead Rises From The Ashes” roadmap for monday, 2014/10/20, featuring standard_and_poor

MARKET UPDATE FOR FRIDAY, 2014/10/17, AND STRATEGY FOR MONDAY:
SPX: 1886.76, +24.00, +1.29%

The likelihood for the termination of wave a of the correction from the September spx 2,020 highs and possibly the completion of the entire correction from the same highs is gaining strength.

I am planning some spx futures purchases , see napa acct. details.
also planning jnug and uvxy purchases in regular account, see below.

There are many small cap value which meet my Elliott and other criterion, I started a new folio with only a 5% allocation rather than the usual 10% allocation on Friday, 2014/10/17. I will publish the purchases in a spread sheet at a later date, sorry I don’t give everything away.

Mea culpa time: I feel I could have performed better during this small correction, although I did manage to reduce longs from my maximum exposure of about 120% to 40% (only long term folios of 1 year or longer duration remained in total portfolio prior to the correction) and did net some handsome profits from shorting but I know I could have done better. I will provide details of short comings and how I will improve performance in an upcoming roadmap. I believe these confessions will help readers improve their performance as well.

The heaven/hell crash indicator today is at -2, up 4 from last Friday’s -6. A rare -10 indicates a high probability of at least a 10% mini crash.

The intermediate smart money model remains on a steadfast BUY and has signaled a fresh secondary buy point as of Friday’s close.

All short term models are on SELL.

Long term models for investors with a one year horizon or longer remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

A BRIEF REVIEW OF SOME PROPRIETARY INDICATORS FOR MONDAY:
(click on “ABOUT” button at top of blog page next to the ocean scene for a brief description of my indicators).
All short term and intermediate term indicators are on a scale of +10 to -10 except the Elliott PSTT indicator.
-the elliott “PSTT” switched to a SELL on 2014/09/23.
-the large cap indicator switched to SELL on 2014/09/24, today it is at -9, up 1 from the last session.
-the qqq indicator has switched to a SELL on 2014/09/23 and is now at -9, up 1 from the last session.
-the gold stock indicator remains on a SELL at +5, up 1 from the last session.
+the intermediate term smart money indicator switched to a BUY on, 2014/09/18 and remains on a buy, and has signaled a seconday entry point on Friday’s close, 2014/10/17. This indicator signals early at times.
-the heaven/hell crash indicator (usually only calculatd on Friday’s) switched to a SELL on 2014/09/25 at -8. It is at a bearish -2 as of Friday, 2014/10/17, up 4 from last Friday’s reading of -6. This Friday’s reading is usually bearish for the next five days about 70-80% of the time. A -6 reading is an intermediate term sell. A -10 reading indicates a high probability of a crash ala 2008 within days to a few weeks.
+all long term equity indicators (for investor’s with at least a one year horizon) remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

TODAY’S REAL TIME TWEETS:
None.

CURRENT TOTAL PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:
includes 5 long term folios of all long positions to be held for at least one year ( each folio was originally a 10% long allocation except for the small cap 2014/10/17 folio which has a 5% long allocation) and the following short term positions in “current holdings”, hedgehog folio(s) with a total 4% allocation and the leveraged etf folio with a total 4% allocation . the bigcap folio started on 2013/03/05 was closed with a 48.06% profit versus spy’s +25.50% gain during the same period. Does not include Napa Valley sub account or options (if under 1% each).
66.5.0% invested.

THIS WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES (all trades, always reviewed, both profits and losses alike):
(*) denotes a new closed trade for today.
+2faced long folio: on 2014/10/09 a 10% allocation of the follwing stocks were purchased:rdus gpro, ttph, mnov, espr,apt, lake, true, nvtl, fold, vimc., on 2014/10/14 the 2faced long folio was closed per real time tweet, for a 14.37%/$16,504 profit.
+2faced short folio: on 201410/10 a 10% short allocation of the following stocks were added: BAXS, DLIA, FREE, GTAT, KWK, ONCY AND VPCO, on 2014/10/14 per real time tweet the folio was closed for a 11.11%/$11,100
profit

THE CURRENT HOLDINGS IN $1MM PORTFOLIO AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/10/17
all trades are triggered by my nightly mkt. update plan unless noted other wise.

(*) denotes a change in holdings from prior trading day’s close.
1A. ESZ14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): flat.
1B. UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : flat.
2. NUGT: flat.
*3. TNA: 2.5% long at 61.54.
3A. TZA: flat.
4: SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXS: flat.
5.JNUG: flat.
5A. JDST: flat.
6.TWTR: flat.
7. FB: flat.
8.PLUG: flat.
9. AAPL: flat.
10. NFLX: flat.
11. TSLA: flat.
12. USLV: flat.
*13. 2 faced longs folio: 11 stocks 1% total allocation – apt, dpw, edmc, eman, bio, lake, nsph, prts, vsr, xco, sam

.

THE PLAN for MONDAY 2014/10/20 (current holdings,trade signal/plan, protective stops):
(*) denotes a change in position, trade signal/plan or protective stop from prior trading day’s plan.
1A: ESZ14(s&p 500 e-mini december 2014 futures): Flat. No signal.
*1B: UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage): flat. Shorting (not buying) a 15% allocation at 48.05.
2. NUGT: flat. NO signal.
*3. TNA: 2.5% long from 61.54. No stop.
3A. TZA: flat. No signal.
4. SPXL: flat. No signal.
4A. SPXA: flat. No signal.
*5. JNUG: flat. Shorting a 5% allocation at 9.77.
5A. JDST: flat. No signal.
6. TWTR: flat. No signal.
7. FB: flat. NO signal.
8. PLUG: flat. No signal.
9. AAPL: flat. No signal.
10. NFLX: flat. No signal.
11. TSLA: flat. No signal.
12. USLV: flat.
13. 2 faced longs folio: long the following – apt, dpw, edmc, eman, bio, lake, nsph, prts, vsr, xco. sam

The $50,000 NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT STRATEGY AND HOLDINGS:
(*) indicates a change in holdings, stop, or strategy.
This strategy shouldn’t make more than 20-30 round turn trades during a year.
To make things interesting for me I will only trades spx futures in this account for the near term. I will usually trade five to six contracts at a maximum in either the long or short side.
*ESZ14 (December spx futures): flat. Buying five contracts when spx (cash mkt.) breaks 1898.25.

THIS WEEK’S NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT CLOSED TRADES:
ESZ14 (December spx futures): none.
Balance is currently $48,888.

The NEW “2014/09/01 LEVERAGED ETF FOLIO” (goal is to hold for at least three months):
The following were added at the open on 2014/09/12, a 0.5% allocation of each, hence 4.00% long in aggregate:
1. DRN: long at 65.10.
2. EDC: long at 118.70.
3. ERX: long at 122.86.
4. INDL: long at 103.27.
5. LBJ: long at 30.79.
6. SOXL: long at 118.57.
7. TMF: long at 68.70.
8. XIV: (not a leveraged etf) long at 43.41.

HEDGEHOG A:
As of 2014/08/14 short a 1.0% allocation of uvxy at 24.98 and short a 3.0% allocation of tmv at 43.18.
HEDGEHOG B:
no positions yet.

ALL TARGETS AND STOPS MAY BE ADJUSTED INTRA-DAY AS MARKET CONDITIONS CHANGE. I attempt to post changes via real time
twitter tweets.

PRIOR WEEK’S $1MM REGULAR ACCT. CLOSED TRADES:
+USLV: On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% long allocation at 28.25, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 17.37%/$4,343 profit.
+UVXY:On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 31.55, on 2014/10/10 bought a 10% uvxy alloc. at 31.50, for a break even trade.
-UVXY: On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% short allocation of uvxy at 31.24, on 2014/10/08 originally shorted a 20% alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 27.47, for a 13.72%.$13,720 loss.
-. UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/10/08 originally shorted a 20% alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 27.47, on 2014/10/09 closed a 10% alloc. of uvxy shorts at 30.22 per real time tweet, for a 10.0%/$10,000 loss.
– UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/10/07 closed a 15% short alloc. at 28.75,on 2014/10/06 shorted a 15% allocation of uvxy at 25.34, for a 13.45%/$20,185 loss.
On 2014/10/07 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 28.75, on 2014/10/03 shorted a 2.5% alloc. at 28.30, for a
1.59%/$1,590 loss. On 2014/10/07 closed a 10% short alloc. at 28.75 per tweet, on 2014/10/03 shorted a 10% alloc. at 26.61 for a 8.04%/$8,042 loss.
-UVXY: on 2014/10/02 closed a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 29.91 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/10/02 bought a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 32.51, for a 7.99%/$1,999 loss.
+UVXY: on 2014/10/01 closed a 15% long alloc. of uvxy at avg. price of 32.26, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 29.87%/$44,805 profit.
+UVXY: on 2014/09/30 closed a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 28.45 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 14.53%/$7,266 profit.
-Small cap 2014-08-13 folio, a 10% allocation, closed this morning (per tweet) with an approximate 2.5% loss, more details later.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : a.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 27.15 per real time tweet. On 2014/09/23 originally bought a 40% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 9.29%/$9,299 profit.
b.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 25.89 per real time tweet for a 4.23%/$4,227 profit.
+ESZ14 (December spx futures): . On 2014/10/01 closed 3 esz14 short contracts at 1936.25, on 2014/09/24 shorted 3 contracts from 1979.25, (shorted when spx broke 1991.00) for a 44.79% profit on margin/$6,450 total profit.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ): On 2014/09/22 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.44 per tweet, closed a 10% short allocation at 23.52 per tweet, closed a 20% short allocation at 24.29 per tweet. On 2014/09/18 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.01 and a 10% allocation at 22.88. On 2014/08/17 shorted a 20% allocation at 23.80. the following losses resulted: 2.45%/$2,450, 2.06%/$4,117.
+USLV: ON 2014/09/19 closed a 2.5% short allocation at 34.17 per twitter, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 6.96%/$1,740 profit.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/09/17 closed a 30 % long allocation at 23.80, on 2014/09/15 bought a 10% allocation of uvxy at 26.26, on 2014/09/10 bought a 20% allocation at 25.10, for a 8.98%/$8,988 loss on the 10% allocation and a 5.18%/$10,358 loss on the 20% allocation
+JNUG: On 2014/09/16 a 5% short alloc. of jnug was closed at 18.79,on 2014/09/03 shorted a 5% alloc. of jnug at 21.80, for a 13.80%/$6,903 profit.
+TWTR: On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of twtr at 49.00, on 2014/08/26 bought a 5% alloc. at 8.11, for a 1.89%/$945 profit.
+ FB: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 55 log alloc. of fb at 77.10,o n 201/09/03 bought a 5% alloc. of fb at 71.70, for a break even trade.
+ NFLX: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of nflx at 474.15, on 2014/08/21 bought a 5% alloc. of nflx at 472.10 per tweet, for a 0.4%/$217 profit.
+ TSLA: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of tsla at 272.45, on 2014/08/29 bought a 5% alloc. at 268.74, for a 1.38%/$690 profit.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/12 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 25.00, On 2014/09/10 bought a 30% long allocation of uvxy at 25.10, for a loss of 0.039% or $398.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/10 near the close closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 24.36, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% allocation of uvxy at 24.19 for a 0.7% loss, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% long allocation of uvxy at 24.60 for a 0.97% loss or about $970.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : on 2014/09/02 closed a 20% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.11 ,on 2014/08/28 bought a 20% long alloc. at 25.54, for a 5.48%/$10,976 loss.
+JNUG: on 2014/08/28 closed a 5% short alloc. at 24.45, on 2014/08/20 shorted a 5% alloc. at 24.45, for a break even trade.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) :on 2014/08/26 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.81,on 2014/08/25 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.20 per tweet, for a 2.62%/$2,629 loss.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/0822 closed the last two esu14 contracts at 1986.00,holding on 2014/08/18 bought 2 contracts at 1950.25, for a 37.20% profit on margin or $3,572.
+ESU14: on 2014/08/20 closed 2 esu14 contracts at 1977.00 for a 22.65% profit on margin or a $2,175 profit.
-JNUG: on 2014/08/20 closed a 5% long alloc. of jnug at 24.45, on 2014/08/12 a 5% long alloc. was bought at 26.67, for a 8.32% loss/$4,162 loss.
+TZA: on 2014/08/20 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. at 14.96, on 2014/08/15 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 1.64%/$821 profit.
SPY, SEPT. 2014 197 calls: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 calls at 3.00, on 2014/08/12 bought 4 at 1.645 (avg.), for a 82.37%/$542 profit..
+ESU14: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 esu longs at 1973.00, one was long from 1952.25, for a $1037.5 profit; three were long from 1950.25, for a $2,375 profit. A total 17.77% profit on margin.
+TZA: on 2014/08/19 closed a 5% short alloc. of tza at 14.84, on 2014/0815 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 2.43%/$1,215 profit.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/18 closed 8 at 1963.25, on 2014/08/18 originally bought 25 (now hold 8) at 1934.50, for a profit of $11,500 or 29.9% profit on margin, or a 1.15% profit on total portfolio.
+ESU14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/15 closed 16 long contracts, at 1952.00, on 2014/08/11 bought 25 contracts of esu14 contracts at 1934.50, for a profit of $14,000 or 18.52% of margin or 1.40% profit on total portfolio.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 15% alloc at 33.27, on 2014/07/28, bought an original 30% alloc. of uvxy at 27.01, for a profit of $34,759/23.17%. on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% long uvxy alloc. at 33.27, on 2014/08/05 bought a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 36.40 per real time tweet, for a $4,295/8.59% loss.
+TNA: on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/27 an original 10% alloc. of tna was shorted at 70.68, for a $625/1.25% profit.
+SPXL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/30 shorted a original 10% alloc. of spxl at 77.18, for a $1690/3.38% profit.
-FB: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. of fb at 73.47, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of fb at 71.99, for a $524/2.62% loss.
+AAPL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. at 95.29, on 2014/08/01 a 2.5% short alloc. of aapl was added at 95.29, for a break even trade.
+GOGO: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 15.55, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2.5% alloc. of gogo at 16.35, for a $978/4.89% profit.
DISCA: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 42.29, on 2014/08/07 shorted a 2.0% alloc. of disca
at a split adjusted 41.14, for a $558/2.79% loss.
-AKAM: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.58, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2% alloc of akam at 56.87, for a $246/2.02% loss.
+FISV: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 61.40, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of fisv was shorted at 61.43, for a break even trade.
-BBY: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 29.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of bby was shorted at 29.12, for a $404/2.02% loss.
+ISRG: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 442.88, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc. of isrg at 445.98, for a break even trade.
STX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.21, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of stx was shorted at 58.07, for $296/3.49% profit.
CERN: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 55.93, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of cern at 54.04, for a$698/3.49% loss.
INTC: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 32.84, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc of intc was shorted at 33.76. for a $544/2.72% profit.
MU: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 30.28, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of mu was shorted at 31.24, for a $614/3.07% profit.
SBUX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 77.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% of sbux was shorted at 77.27 per tweet, for a $112/0.56% loss.
EQIX: on 2014/08/11 closed a2.0% short alloc. at 210.57, on 2014/08/05 shorted a 2% alloc. at 208.99, for a $150/0.75% loss.

CLOSED $10 K NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT TRADES:
(*)denotes a new closed trade for today:
UVXY: On 2014/08/17 closed 40 shares at 23.82, on 2014/09/09 bought 40 shares of uvxy at 24.60, for a 3.09%/$30.41 loss.
FOLD: On 2014/09/10 closed 140 shares at 7.71, On 2014/09/03 bought 40 shares of fold per tweet at 7.01, for a 2.28%/$22.40 profit.
TRUE: on 2014/09/09 closed 50 shares at 22.63, on 2014/09/02 bought 50 shares at 22.63 stop, for a profit of 8.32%/$190.40.
CENX: on 2014/09/09 closed 40 shares at 28.23, on 2014/08/26 bought 40 shares of cenx at 23.43 for a profit of 20.3%/$190.40.
ACHN: on 2014/09/05 closed 80 shares, on 2014/09/03 bought 80 shares at 12.57, for a break even trade.
ZEN: On 2014/09/05 closed 40 shares at 24.47, on 2014/09/02 bought 40 shares at 27.69 for a 10.65%/$116.80 loss.
GILD: on 2014/09/05 closed 10 shares at 106.45, on 2014/08/27 bought 10 shares of gild at 106.50, for a break even trade.
SLCA: on 2014/09/05 closed 15 shares at 66.75, on 2014/08/25 bought 15 shares of slca at 66.74. for break even.
UVXY: forgot to report yesterday, stop taken out. On 2014/09/03 closed 20 long shares at 24.12, for a 5.37%/$18 loss.
TRLA: On 2014/09/03 closed all 16 trla shares at 62.19, on 2014/08/26 bought 16 shares of trla at at 61.35, for a 1.36%/$13 profit.
HTCH: On 2014/09/03 closed all 200 shares of htch at 4.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 200 shares of htch at 4.50, for a 3.55%/$32.00 profit.
EMES: On 2014/09/03 closed all 4 shares of emes at 135.69, on 2014/08/28 bought 4 shares of emes at 135.49, for a break even trade. 0%
ATHM: on 2014/09/02 closed 20 shares at 46.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 20 shares of athm at 56.52. for a 17.50%/$198 loss.
PLNR: on 2014/08/22 closed 250 plnr at 4.35 per tweet, bought 400 at 4.16 on 2014/08/19, for a 4.56%/$47.50 profit.
AMKR: on 2014/08/22 closed 100 amkr at 10.00 per tweet, long 100 at 9.68 on 2014/08/19, for a 2.45%/$24 profit.
SUMR: on 2014/08/22 closed 240 SUMR at 4.69, on 2014/08/19 bought 240sumr at 4.08, for a 14.85%/$146 profit.
WPCS: on 2014/08/21 closed 890 at 1.02, on 2014/08/19 bought 890 at1.12, for a 8.92%/$89 loss.
PAM: on 2014/08/21 closed 100 at 9.19, on 2014/08/19 bought 100 at 9.76, for a 5.84%/$57 loss.
CIG: on 2014/08/21 closed 120 at 8.77, on 2014/08/19 bought 120 at 8.64, for a 1.50%/$15.60 profit.

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Disclaimer:
This is my on-line trading journal. Standardpoor.wordpress.com, my on-line trading journal or blog, is purely for educational purposes only. Information from this blog and blogs that I follow (listed here) is not investment advice and should not be misconstrued as investment advice from this blog owner. Readers should not attempt to mimic my trades as they can be volatile and financially hazardous.

The “It Hurts Me Too” roadmap for monday, 2014/10/13, featuring standard_and_poor

MARKET UPDATE FOR FRIDAY, 2014/10/10, AND STRATEGY FOR MONDAY:
SPX: 1906.13, -22.08, -1.15%

No new trades are planned for today. The uvxy long trade I alerted you to on Thursday’s market update rallied 20% into the close on Friday, unfortunately my overly conservative stop took me out of the market. Hopefully many of you readers captured the full move.

The heaven/hell crash indicator today is at -6, down 2 from the last session. A rare -10 indicates a high probability of at least a 10% mini crash.

The intermediate smart money model remains on a steadfast BUY.

All short term models are on SELL.

Long term models for investors with a one year horizon or longer remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

A BRIEF REVIEW OF SOME PROPRIETARY INDICATORS FOR MONDAY:
(click on “ABOUT” button at top of blog page next to the ocean scene for a brief description of my indicators)
-the elliott “PSTT” switched to a SELL on 2014/09/23.
-the large cap indicator switched to SELL on 2014/09/24, today it is at -7, up 2 from the last session.
-the qqq indicator has switched to a SELL on 2014/09/23 and is now at -10, down 2 from the last session.
-the gold stock indicator remains on a SELL at -8, up 1 from the last session.
+the intermediate term smart money indicator switched to a BUY on, 2014/09/18 and remains on a buy, this indicator signals early at times.
-The heaven/hell crash indicator is at a bearish -6 as of Friday, 2014/10/10, up 2 from last Friday’s reading of -4. This reading is usually bearish for the next five days about 70-80% of the time. A -10 reading indicates a high probability of a crash ala 2008 within days to a few weeks.
+all long term equity indicators (for investor’s with at least a one year horizon) remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

TODAY’S REAL TIME TWEETS:
• both 2faced longs and 2faced shorts are in the green by about 2% each today so far. 2 days ago
• UVXY: stopped out of shorts at 31.24, long a 10% alloc. at 31.50, using a 31.55 stop on longs. 2 days ago

CURRENT TOTAL PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:
includes 4 long term folios of all long positions to be held for at least one year, each folio was originally a 10% long allocation, and the following short term positions in “current holdings” , hedgehog folio(s) with a total 4% allocation and the leveraged etf folio with a total 4% allocation . the bigcap folio started on 2013/03/05 was closed with a 48.06% profit versus spy’s +25.50% gain during the same period. Does not include Napa Valley sub account or options (if under 1% each).
68.0% invested.

THIS WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES (all trades, always reviewed, both profits and losses alike):
(*) denotes a new closed trade for today.
* -USLV: On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% long allocation at 28.25, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 17.37%/$4,343 profit.
*-UVXY:On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 31.55, on 2014/10/10 bought a 10% uvxy alloc. at 31.50, for a break even trade.
*-UVXY: On 2014/10/10 closed a 10% short allocation of uvxy at 31.24, on 2014/10/08 originally shorted a 20% alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 27.47, for a 13.72%.$13,720 loss.
-. UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/10/08 originally shorted a 20% alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 27.47, on 2014/10/09 closed a 10% alloc. of uvxy shorts at 30.22 per real time tweet, for a 10.0%/$10,000 loss.
– UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/10/07 closed a 15% short alloc. at 28.75,on 2014/10/06 shorted a 15% allocation of uvxy at 25.34, for a 13.45%/$20,185 loss.
On 2014/10/07 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 28.75, on 2014/10/03 shorted a 2.5% alloc. at 28.30, for a
1.59%/$1,590 loss. On 2014/10/07 closed a 10% short alloc. at 28.75 per tweet, on 2014/10/03 shorted a 10% alloc. at 26.61 for a 8.04%/$8,042 loss.

THE CURRENT HOLDINGS IN $1MM PORTFOLIO AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/10/10:
all trades are triggered by my nightly mkt. update plan unless noted other wise.
(*) denotes a change in holdings from prior trading day’s close.
1. ESZ14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): flat.
*1A. UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : flat.
2. NUGT: flat.
3. TNA: flat.
3A. TZA: flat.
4: SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXS: flat.
5.JNUG: flat.
5A. JDST: flat.
6.TWTR: flat.
7. FB: flat.
8.PLUG: flat.
9. AAPL: flat.
10. NFLX: flat.
11. TSLA: flat.
12. USLV: flat..
13. 2 faced longs folio: long A 10% allocation of the following eleven stocks (correction): rdus gpro, ttph, mnov, espr,apt, lake, true, nvtl, fold, vimc.
14. 2 faced shorts folio: short a 10% allocation, an equal portion of the following seven stocks – BAXS, DLIA, FREE, GTAT, KWK, ONCY AND VPCO.

.

THE PLAN for MONDAY 2014/10/13 (current holdings,trade signal/plan, protective stops):
(*) denotes a change in position, trade signal/plan or protective stop from prior trading day’s plan.
1A: ESZ14(s&p 500 e-mini december 2014 futures): Flat. No signal.
*1B: UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage): flat.
2. NUGT: flat. NO signal.
3. TNA: flat. No signal.
3A. TZA: flat. No signal.
4. SPXL: flat. No signal.
4A. SPXA: flat. No signal.
5. JNUG: flat. No signal.
5A. JDST: flat. No signal.
6. TWTR: flat. No signal.
7. FB: flat. NO signal.
8. PLUG: flat. No signal.
9. AAPL: flat. No signal.
10. NFLX: flat. No signal.
11. TSLA: flat. No signal.
12. USLV: flat.
13. 2 faced longs folio: long A 10% allocation of the following ten stocks : rdus gpro, ttph, mnov, espr,apt, lake, true, nvtl, fold, vimc.
14. 2 faced shorts folio: short a 10% allocation, an equal portion of the following seven stocks – BAXS, DLIA, FREE, GTAT, KWK, ONCY AND VPCO.

The $50,000 NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT STRATEGY AND HOLDINGS:
(*) indicates a change in holdings, stop, or strategy.
This strategy shouldn’t make more than 20-30 round turn trades during a year.
To make things interesting for me I will only trades spx futures in this account for the near term. I will usually trade five to six contracts at a maximum in either the long or short side.
*ESZ14 (December spx futures): flat. No signal. Yesterday’s trade was never activated since spx 1972 was not reached today.

THIS WEEK’S NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT CLOSED TRADES:
ESZ14 (December spx futures): On 2014/10/07 closed 5 esz14 at 1937.50, on 2014/010/06 bought 5 contracts at 1967.75, for a 31.5% on margin/$7,562 loss.
No trades for tomorrow. Account balance is currently $48,888.

The NEW “2014/09/01 LEVERAGED ETF FOLIO” (goal is to hold for at least three months):
The following were added at the open on 2014/09/12, a 0.5% allocation of each, hence 4.00% long in aggregate:
1. DRN: long at 65.10.
2. EDC: long at 118.70.
3. ERX: long at 122.86.
4. INDL: long at 103.27.
5. LBJ: long at 30.79.
6. SOXL: long at 118.57.
7. TMF: long at 68.70.
8. XIV: (not a leveraged etf) long at 43.41.

HEDGEHOG A:
As of 2014/08/14 short a 1.0% allocation of uvxy at 24.98 and short a 3.0% allocation of tmv at 43.18.
HEDGEHOG B:
no positions yet.

ALL TARGETS AND STOPS MAY BE ADJUSTED INTRA-DAY AS MARKET CONDITIONS CHANGE. I attempt to post changes via real time
twitter tweets.

PRIOR WEEK’S $1MM REGULAR ACCT. CLOSED TRADES:
-UVXY: on 2014/10/02 closed a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 29.91 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/10/02 bought a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 32.51, for a 7.99%/$1,999 loss.
+UVXY: on 2014/10/01 closed a 15% long alloc. of uvxy at avg. price of 32.26, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 29.87%/$44,805 profit.
+UVXY: on 2014/09/30 closed a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 28.45 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 14.53%/$7,266 profit.
-Small cap 2014-08-13 folio, a 10% allocation, closed this morning (per tweet) with an approximate 2.5% loss, more details later.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : a.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 27.15 per real time tweet. On 2014/09/23 originally bought a 40% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 9.29%/$9,299 profit.
b.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 25.89 per real time tweet for a 4.23%/$4,227 profit.
+ESZ14 (December spx futures): . On 2014/10/01 closed 3 esz14 short contracts at 1936.25, on 2014/09/24 shorted 3 contracts from 1979.25, (shorted when spx broke 1991.00) for a 44.79% profit on margin/$6,450 total profit.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ): On 2014/09/22 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.44 per tweet, closed a 10% short allocation at 23.52 per tweet, closed a 20% short allocation at 24.29 per tweet. On 2014/09/18 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.01 and a 10% allocation at 22.88. On 2014/08/17 shorted a 20% allocation at 23.80. the following losses resulted: 2.45%/$2,450, 2.06%/$4,117.
+USLV: ON 2014/09/19 closed a 2.5% short allocation at 34.17 per twitter, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 6.96%/$1,740 profit.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/09/17 closed a 30 % long allocation at 23.80, on 2014/09/15 bought a 10% allocation of uvxy at 26.26, on 2014/09/10 bought a 20% allocation at 25.10, for a 8.98%/$8,988 loss on the 10% allocation and a 5.18%/$10,358 loss on the 20% allocation
+JNUG: On 2014/09/16 a 5% short alloc. of jnug was closed at 18.79,on 2014/09/03 shorted a 5% alloc. of jnug at 21.80, for a 13.80%/$6,903 profit.
+TWTR: On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of twtr at 49.00, on 2014/08/26 bought a 5% alloc. at 8.11, for a 1.89%/$945 profit.
+ FB: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 55 log alloc. of fb at 77.10,o n 201/09/03 bought a 5% alloc. of fb at 71.70, for a break even trade.
+ NFLX: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of nflx at 474.15, on 2014/08/21 bought a 5% alloc. of nflx at 472.10 per tweet, for a 0.4%/$217 profit.
+ TSLA: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of tsla at 272.45, on 2014/08/29 bought a 5% alloc. at 268.74, for a 1.38%/$690 profit.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/12 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 25.00, On 2014/09/10 bought a 30% long allocation of uvxy at 25.10, for a loss of 0.039% or $398.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/10 near the close closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 24.36, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% allocation of uvxy at 24.19 for a 0.7% loss, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% long allocation of uvxy at 24.60 for a 0.97% loss or about $970.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : on 2014/09/02 closed a 20% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.11 ,on 2014/08/28 bought a 20% long alloc. at 25.54, for a 5.48%/$10,976 loss.
+JNUG: on 2014/08/28 closed a 5% short alloc. at 24.45, on 2014/08/20 shorted a 5% alloc. at 24.45, for a break even trade.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) :on 2014/08/26 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.81,on 2014/08/25 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.20 per tweet, for a 2.62%/$2,629 loss.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/0822 closed the last two esu14 contracts at 1986.00,holding on 2014/08/18 bought 2 contracts at 1950.25, for a 37.20% profit on margin or $3,572.
+ESU14: on 2014/08/20 closed 2 esu14 contracts at 1977.00 for a 22.65% profit on margin or a $2,175 profit.
-JNUG: on 2014/08/20 closed a 5% long alloc. of jnug at 24.45, on 2014/08/12 a 5% long alloc. was bought at 26.67, for a 8.32% loss/$4,162 loss.
+TZA: on 2014/08/20 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. at 14.96, on 2014/08/15 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 1.64%/$821 profit.
SPY, SEPT. 2014 197 calls: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 calls at 3.00, on 2014/08/12 bought 4 at 1.645 (avg.), for a 82.37%/$542 profit..
+ESU14: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 esu longs at 1973.00, one was long from 1952.25, for a $1037.5 profit; three were long from 1950.25, for a $2,375 profit. A total 17.77% profit on margin.
+TZA: on 2014/08/19 closed a 5% short alloc. of tza at 14.84, on 2014/0815 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 2.43%/$1,215 profit.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/18 closed 8 at 1963.25, on 2014/08/18 originally bought 25 (now hold 8) at 1934.50, for a profit of $11,500 or 29.9% profit on margin, or a 1.15% profit on total portfolio.
+ESU14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/15 closed 16 long contracts, at 1952.00, on 2014/08/11 bought 25 contracts of esu14 contracts at 1934.50, for a profit of $14,000 or 18.52% of margin or 1.40% profit on total portfolio.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 15% alloc at 33.27, on 2014/07/28, bought an original 30% alloc. of uvxy at 27.01, for a profit of $34,759/23.17%. on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% long uvxy alloc. at 33.27, on 2014/08/05 bought a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 36.40 per real time tweet, for a $4,295/8.59% loss.
+TNA: on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/27 an original 10% alloc. of tna was shorted at 70.68, for a $625/1.25% profit.
+SPXL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/30 shorted a original 10% alloc. of spxl at 77.18, for a $1690/3.38% profit.
-FB: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. of fb at 73.47, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of fb at 71.99, for a $524/2.62% loss.
+AAPL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. at 95.29, on 2014/08/01 a 2.5% short alloc. of aapl was added at 95.29, for a break even trade.
+GOGO: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 15.55, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2.5% alloc. of gogo at 16.35, for a $978/4.89% profit.
DISCA: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 42.29, on 2014/08/07 shorted a 2.0% alloc. of disca
at a split adjusted 41.14, for a $558/2.79% loss.
-AKAM: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.58, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2% alloc of akam at 56.87, for a $246/2.02% loss.
+FISV: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 61.40, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of fisv was shorted at 61.43, for a break even trade.
-BBY: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 29.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of bby was shorted at 29.12, for a $404/2.02% loss.
+ISRG: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 442.88, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc. of isrg at 445.98, for a break even trade.
STX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.21, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of stx was shorted at 58.07, for $296/3.49% profit.
CERN: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 55.93, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of cern at 54.04, for a$698/3.49% loss.
INTC: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 32.84, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc of intc was shorted at 33.76. for a $544/2.72% profit.
MU: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 30.28, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of mu was shorted at 31.24, for a $614/3.07% profit.
SBUX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 77.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% of sbux was shorted at 77.27 per tweet, for a $112/0.56% loss.
EQIX: on 2014/08/11 closed a2.0% short alloc. at 210.57, on 2014/08/05 shorted a 2% alloc. at 208.99, for a $150/0.75% loss.

CLOSED $10 K NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT TRADES:
(*)denotes a new closed trade for today:
UVXY: On 2014/08/17 closed 40 shares at 23.82, on 2014/09/09 bought 40 shares of uvxy at 24.60, for a 3.09%/$30.41 loss.
FOLD: On 2014/09/10 closed 140 shares at 7.71, On 2014/09/03 bought 40 shares of fold per tweet at 7.01, for a 2.28%/$22.40 profit.
TRUE: on 2014/09/09 closed 50 shares at 22.63, on 2014/09/02 bought 50 shares at 22.63 stop, for a profit of 8.32%/$190.40.
CENX: on 2014/09/09 closed 40 shares at 28.23, on 2014/08/26 bought 40 shares of cenx at 23.43 for a profit of 20.3%/$190.40.
ACHN: on 2014/09/05 closed 80 shares, on 2014/09/03 bought 80 shares at 12.57, for a break even trade.
ZEN: On 2014/09/05 closed 40 shares at 24.47, on 2014/09/02 bought 40 shares at 27.69 for a 10.65%/$116.80 loss.
GILD: on 2014/09/05 closed 10 shares at 106.45, on 2014/08/27 bought 10 shares of gild at 106.50, for a break even trade.
SLCA: on 2014/09/05 closed 15 shares at 66.75, on 2014/08/25 bought 15 shares of slca at 66.74. for break even.
UVXY: forgot to report yesterday, stop taken out. On 2014/09/03 closed 20 long shares at 24.12, for a 5.37%/$18 loss.
TRLA: On 2014/09/03 closed all 16 trla shares at 62.19, on 2014/08/26 bought 16 shares of trla at at 61.35, for a 1.36%/$13 profit.
HTCH: On 2014/09/03 closed all 200 shares of htch at 4.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 200 shares of htch at 4.50, for a 3.55%/$32.00 profit.
EMES: On 2014/09/03 closed all 4 shares of emes at 135.69, on 2014/08/28 bought 4 shares of emes at 135.49, for a break even trade. 0%
ATHM: on 2014/09/02 closed 20 shares at 46.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 20 shares of athm at 56.52. for a 17.50%/$198 loss.
PLNR: on 2014/08/22 closed 250 plnr at 4.35 per tweet, bought 400 at 4.16 on 2014/08/19, for a 4.56%/$47.50 profit.
AMKR: on 2014/08/22 closed 100 amkr at 10.00 per tweet, long 100 at 9.68 on 2014/08/19, for a 2.45%/$24 profit.
SUMR: on 2014/08/22 closed 240 SUMR at 4.69, on 2014/08/19 bought 240sumr at 4.08, for a 14.85%/$146 profit.
WPCS: on 2014/08/21 closed 890 at 1.02, on 2014/08/19 bought 890 at1.12, for a 8.92%/$89 loss.
PAM: on 2014/08/21 closed 100 at 9.19, on 2014/08/19 bought 100 at 9.76, for a 5.84%/$57 loss.
CIG: on 2014/08/21 closed 120 at 8.77, on 2014/08/19 bought 120 at 8.64, for a 1.50%/$15.60 profit.

click on the “ABOUT” button to the right of the “home” button at top of ocean background for indicator details.
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Disclaimer:
This is my on-line trading journal. Standardpoor.wordpress.com, my on-line trading journal or blog, is purely for educational purposes only. Information from this blog and blogs that I follow (listed here) is not investment advice and should not be misconstrued as investment advice from this blog owner. Readers should not attempt to mimic my trades as they can be volatile and financially hazardous.

The “Monster’s Ball” roadmap for monday, 2014/10/06, featuring the standard_and_poor

MARKET UPDATE FOR FRIDAY, 2014/10/03, AND STRATEGY FOR MONDAY:
SPX: 191966.96, +20.78, +1.07%

The nyse looks like an abc flat is complete, the spx chart is a bit unusual and is discomforting to my eyes but today’s over all mkt. upswing with good momentum makes me more comfortable about adding more longs (uvxy trades inverse to spx) and will be shorting more uvxy come Monday. I will also be buying spx futures in the napa account.

From yesterday’s mkt. update “We are amidst what could become a precarious path for the stock market, but first, we are likely overdue for a brief respite from the recent cascade. I will again be taking a dip in the uvxy waters, this time I will be shorting a 2.5% allocation. I believe an irregular abc zig-zag has just terminated.”

The heaven/hell crash indicator is unchanged from yesterday’s bearish -8 reading. A rare -10 indicates a high probability of at least a 10% mini crash.

The intermediate smart money model remains on a steadfast BUY.

All short term models are on SELL.

Long term models for investors with a one year horizon or longer remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

A BRIEF REVIEW OF SOME PROPRIETARY INDICATORS FOR MONDAY:
(click on “ABOUT” button at top of blog page next to the ocean scene for a brief description of my indicators)
-the elliott “PSTT” switched to a SELL on 2014/09/23.
-the large cap indicator switched to SELL on 2014/09/24, today it is at -8, up 1 from the last session.
-the qqq indicator has switched to a SELL on 2014/09/23 and is now at -7, up 1 from the last session.
-the gold stock indicator remains on a SELL at -10, unchanged from the last session.
+the intermediate term smart money indicator switched to a BUY on, 2014/09/18 and remains on a buy, this indicator signals early at times.
+-The heaven/hell crash indicator declined to a bearish -8 as of Friday, 2014/10/03, down 2 from last Friday’s reading of -4. This reading is usually bearish for the next five days about 70-80% of the time. A -10 reading predicts a start of a crash ala 2008 within days to a few weeks.
+all long term equity indicators remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

TODAY’S REAL TIME TWEETS:
UVXY: shorted a 10% allocation at 26.61 14 hours ago
$SPX $UVXY: might do some massive buying today under right conditions. stay tuned.

CURRENT TOTAL PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:
includes 4 long term folios of all long positions to be held for at least one year, each folio was originally a 10% long allocation, and the following short term positions in “current holdings” , hedgehog folio(s) with a total 4% allocation and the leveraged etf folio with a total 4% allocation . the bigcap folio started on 2013/03/05 was closed with a 48.06% profit versus spy’s +25.50% gain during the same period. Does not include Napa Valley sub account or options (if under 1% each).
60.00% invested, an increase from the last session.

THIS WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES (all trades, always reviewed, both profits and losses alike):
(*) denotes a new closed trade for today.
*-UVXY: on 2014/10/02 closed a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 29.91 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/10/02 bought a 2.5% long alloc. of uvxy at 32.51, for a 7.99%/$1,999 loss.
+UVXY: on 2014/10/01 closed a 15% long alloc. of uvxy at avg. price of 32.26, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 29.87%/$44,805 profit.
+UVXY: on 2014/09/30 closed a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 28.45 per real time twitter tweet, on 2014/09/23 bought an original 40% alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 14.53%/$7,266 profit.
-Small cap 2014-08-13 folio, a 10% allocation, closed this morning (per tweet) with an approximate 2.5% loss, more details later.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : a.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 27.15 per real time tweet. On 2014/09/23 originally bought a 40% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.84, for a 9.29%/$9,299 profit.
b.)On 2014/09/26 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy at 25.89 per real time tweet for a 4.23%/$4,227 profit.
THE CURRENT HOLDINGS IN $1MM PORTFOLIO AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/10/03:
all trades are triggered by my nightly mkt. update plan unless noted other wise.
(*) denotes a change in holdings from prior trading day’s close.
1. ESZ14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): flat.
*1A. UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : 12.5% short. On 2014/10/03 short a 2.5% alloc. at 28.30. on 2014/10/03 shorted a 10% alloc. at 26.61 per twitter real time tweet.
2. NUGT: flat.
3. TNA: flat.
3A. TZA: flat.
4: SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXS: flat.
5.JNUG: flat.
5A. JDST: flat.
6.TWTR: flat.
7. FB: flat.
8.PLUG: flat.
9. AAPL: flat.
10. NFLX: flat.
11. TSLA: flat.
12. USLV: 2.5% short. On 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19.
THE PLAN for MONDAY, 2014/10/06 (current holdings,trade signal/plan, protective stops):
(*) denotes a change in position, trade signal/plan or protective stop from prior trading day’s plan.
1A: ESZ14(s&p 500 e-mini december 2014 futures): Flat. No signal.
*1B: UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage): 12.5% short. Shorting (not buying) a 15% alloc. upon a spx break of 1972.00, also shorting a 10% alloc. of uvxy at spx 1946.00 and using a spx stop of 1925 on this 10% alloc. if filled.
2. NUGT: flat. NO signal.
3. TNA: flat. No signal.
3A. TZA: flat. No signal.
4. SPXL: flat. No signal.
4A. SPXA: flat. No signal.
5. JNUG: flat. No signal.
5A. JDST: flat. No signal.
6. TWTR: flat. No signal.
7. FB: flat. NO signal.
8. PLUG: flat. No signal.
9. AAPL: flat. No signal.
10. NFLX: flat. No signal.
11. TSLA: flat. No signal.
12. USLV: flat. 2.5% short. No stop.
The NEW “2014/09/01 LEVERAGED ETF FOLIO” (goal is to hold for at least three months):
The following were added at the open on 2014/09/12, a 0.5% allocation of each, hence 4.00% long in aggregate:
1. DRN: long at 65.10.
2. EDC: long at 118.70.
3. ERX: long at 122.86.
4. INDL: long at 103.27.
5. LBJ: long at 30.79.
6. SOXL: long at 118.57.
7. TMF: long at 68.70.
8. XIV: (not a leveraged etf) long at 43.41.

HEDGEHOG A:
As of 2014/08/14 short a 1.0% allocation of uvxy at 24.98 and short a 3.0% allocation of tmv at 43.18.
HEDGEHOG B:
no positions yet.

The $50,000 NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT STRATEGY AND HOLDINGS:
(*) indicates a change in holdings, stop, or strategy.
To make things interesting for me I will only trades spx futures in this account for the near term and have added 40k, I will usually trade five to six contracts at a maximum in either the long or short side.

*ESZ14 (December spx futures): Flat. Buying 5 contracts upon a spx break of 1972.00.
Account balance is currently $56,450.
ALL TARGETS AND STOPS MAY BE ADJUSTED INTRA-DAY AS MARKET CONDITIONS CHANGE. I attempt to post changes via real time
twitter tweets.

PRIOR WEEK’S $1MM REGULAR ACCT. CLOSED TRADES:
+ESZ14 (December spx futures): . On 2014/10/01 closed 3 esz14 short contracts at 1936.25, on 2014/09/24 shorted 3 contracts from 1979.25, (shorted when spx broke 1991.00) for a 44.79% profit on margin/$6,450 total profit.
+UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ): On 2014/09/22 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.44 per tweet, closed a 10% short allocation at 23.52 per tweet, closed a 20% short allocation at 24.29 per tweet. On 2014/09/18 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.01 and a 10% allocation at 22.88. On 2014/08/17 shorted a 20% allocation at 23.80. the following losses resulted: 2.45%/$2,450, 2.06%/$4,117.
+USLV: ON 2014/09/19 closed a 2.5% short allocation at 34.17 per twitter, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 6.96%/$1,740 profit.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/09/17 closed a 30 % long allocation at 23.80, on 2014/09/15 bought a 10% allocation of uvxy at 26.26, on 2014/09/10 bought a 20% allocation at 25.10, for a 8.98%/$8,988 loss on the 10% allocation and a 5.18%/$10,358 loss on the 20% allocation
+JNUG: On 2014/09/16 a 5% short alloc. of jnug was closed at 18.79,on 2014/09/03 shorted a 5% alloc. of jnug at 21.80, for a 13.80%/$6,903 profit.
+TWTR: On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of twtr at 49.00, on 2014/08/26 bought a 5% alloc. at 8.11, for a 1.89%/$945 profit.
+ FB: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 55 log alloc. of fb at 77.10,o n 201/09/03 bought a 5% alloc. of fb at 71.70, for a break even trade.
+ NFLX: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of nflx at 474.15, on 2014/08/21 bought a 5% alloc. of nflx at 472.10 per tweet, for a 0.4%/$217 profit.
+ TSLA: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of tsla at 272.45, on 2014/08/29 bought a 5% alloc. at 268.74, for a 1.38%/$690 profit.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/12 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 25.00, On 2014/09/10 bought a 30% long allocation of uvxy at 25.10, for a loss of 0.039% or $398.
-UVXY: On 2014/09/10 near the close closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 24.36, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% allocation of uvxy at 24.19 for a 0.7% loss, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% long allocation of uvxy at 24.60 for a 0.97% loss or about $970.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : on 2014/09/02 closed a 20% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.11 ,on 2014/08/28 bought a 20% long alloc. at 25.54, for a 5.48%/$10,976 loss.
+JNUG: on 2014/08/28 closed a 5% short alloc. at 24.45, on 2014/08/20 shorted a 5% alloc. at 24.45, for a break even trade.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) :on 2014/08/26 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.81,on 2014/08/25 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.20 per tweet, for a 2.62%/$2,629 loss.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/0822 closed the last two esu14 contracts at 1986.00,holding on 2014/08/18 bought 2 contracts at 1950.25, for a 37.20% profit on margin or $3,572.
+ESU14: on 2014/08/20 closed 2 esu14 contracts at 1977.00 for a 22.65% profit on margin or a $2,175 profit.
-JNUG: on 2014/08/20 closed a 5% long alloc. of jnug at 24.45, on 2014/08/12 a 5% long alloc. was bought at 26.67, for a 8.32% loss/$4,162 loss.
+TZA: on 2014/08/20 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. at 14.96, on 2014/08/15 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 1.64%/$821 profit.
SPY, SEPT. 2014 197 calls: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 calls at 3.00, on 2014/08/12 bought 4 at 1.645 (avg.), for a 82.37%/$542 profit..
+ESU14: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 esu longs at 1973.00, one was long from 1952.25, for a $1037.5 profit; three were long from 1950.25, for a $2,375 profit. A total 17.77% profit on margin.
+TZA: on 2014/08/19 closed a 5% short alloc. of tza at 14.84, on 2014/0815 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 2.43%/$1,215 profit.
+ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/18 closed 8 at 1963.25, on 2014/08/18 originally bought 25 (now hold 8) at 1934.50, for a profit of $11,500 or 29.9% profit on margin, or a 1.15% profit on total portfolio.
+ESU14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/15 closed 16 long contracts, at 1952.00, on 2014/08/11 bought 25 contracts of esu14 contracts at 1934.50, for a profit of $14,000 or 18.52% of margin or 1.40% profit on total portfolio.
-UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 15% alloc at 33.27, on 2014/07/28, bought an original 30% alloc. of uvxy at 27.01, for a profit of $34,759/23.17%. on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% long uvxy alloc. at 33.27, on 2014/08/05 bought a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 36.40 per real time tweet, for a $4,295/8.59% loss.
+TNA: on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/27 an original 10% alloc. of tna was shorted at 70.68, for a $625/1.25% profit.
+SPXL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/30 shorted a original 10% alloc. of spxl at 77.18, for a $1690/3.38% profit.
-FB: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. of fb at 73.47, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of fb at 71.99, for a $524/2.62% loss.
+AAPL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. at 95.29, on 2014/08/01 a 2.5% short alloc. of aapl was added at 95.29, for a break even trade.
+GOGO: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 15.55, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2.5% alloc. of gogo at 16.35, for a $978/4.89% profit.
DISCA: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 42.29, on 2014/08/07 shorted a 2.0% alloc. of disca
at a split adjusted 41.14, for a $558/2.79% loss.
-AKAM: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.58, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2% alloc of akam at 56.87, for a $246/2.02% loss.
+FISV: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 61.40, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of fisv was shorted at 61.43, for a break even trade.
-BBY: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 29.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of bby was shorted at 29.12, for a $404/2.02% loss.
+ISRG: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 442.88, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc. of isrg at 445.98, for a break even trade.
STX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.21, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of stx was shorted at 58.07, for $296/3.49% profit.
CERN: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 55.93, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of cern at 54.04, for a$698/3.49% loss.
INTC: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 32.84, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc of intc was shorted at 33.76. for a $544/2.72% profit.
MU: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 30.28, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of mu was shorted at 31.24, for a $614/3.07% profit.
SBUX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 77.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% of sbux was shorted at 77.27 per tweet, for a $112/0.56% loss.
EQIX: on 2014/08/11 closed a2.0% short alloc. at 210.57, on 2014/08/05 shorted a 2% alloc. at 208.99, for a $150/0.75% loss.
CLOSED $10 K NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT TRADES:
(*)denotes a new closed trade for today:
UVXY: On 2014/08/17 closed 40 shares at 23.82, on 2014/09/09 bought 40 shares of uvxy at 24.60, for a 3.09%/$30.41 loss.
FOLD: On 2014/09/10 closed 140 shares at 7.71, On 2014/09/03 bought 40 shares of fold per tweet at 7.01, for a 2.28%/$22.40 profit.
TRUE: on 2014/09/09 closed 50 shares at 22.63, on 2014/09/02 bought 50 shares at 22.63 stop, for a profit of 8.32%/$190.40.
CENX: on 2014/09/09 closed 40 shares at 28.23, on 2014/08/26 bought 40 shares of cenx at 23.43 for a profit of 20.3%/$190.40.
ACHN: on 2014/09/05 closed 80 shares, on 2014/09/03 bought 80 shares at 12.57, for a break even trade.
ZEN: On 2014/09/05 closed 40 shares at 24.47, on 2014/09/02 bought 40 shares at 27.69 for a 10.65%/$116.80 loss.
GILD: on 2014/09/05 closed 10 shares at 106.45, on 2014/08/27 bought 10 shares of gild at 106.50, for a break even trade.
SLCA: on 2014/09/05 closed 15 shares at 66.75, on 2014/08/25 bought 15 shares of slca at 66.74. for break even.
UVXY: forgot to report yesterday, stop taken out. On 2014/09/03 closed 20 long shares at 24.12, for a 5.37%/$18 loss.
TRLA: On 2014/09/03 closed all 16 trla shares at 62.19, on 2014/08/26 bought 16 shares of trla at at 61.35, for a 1.36%/$13 profit.
HTCH: On 2014/09/03 closed all 200 shares of htch at 4.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 200 shares of htch at 4.50, for a 3.55%/$32.00 profit.
EMES: On 2014/09/03 closed all 4 shares of emes at 135.69, on 2014/08/28 bought 4 shares of emes at 135.49, for a break even trade. 0%
ATHM: on 2014/09/02 closed 20 shares at 46.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 20 shares of athm at 56.52. for a 17.50%/$198 loss.
PLNR: on 2014/08/22 closed 250 plnr at 4.35 per tweet, bought 400 at 4.16 on 2014/08/19, for a 4.56%/$47.50 profit.
AMKR: on 2014/08/22 closed 100 amkr at 10.00 per tweet, long 100 at 9.68 on 2014/08/19, for a 2.45%/$24 profit.
SUMR: on 2014/08/22 closed 240 SUMR at 4.69, on 2014/08/19 bought 240sumr at 4.08, for a 14.85%/$146 profit.
WPCS: on 2014/08/21 closed 890 at 1.02, on 2014/08/19 bought 890 at1.12, for a 8.92%/$89 loss.
PAM: on 2014/08/21 closed 100 at 9.19, on 2014/08/19 bought 100 at 9.76, for a 5.84%/$57 loss.
CIG: on 2014/08/21 closed 120 at 8.77, on 2014/08/19 bought 120 at 8.64, for a 1.50%/$15.60 profit.

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Disclaimer:
This is my on-line trading journal. Standardpoor.wordpress.com, my on-line trading journal or blog, is purely for educational purposes only. Information from this blog and blogs that I follow (listed here) is not investment advice and should not be misconstrued as investment advice from this blog owner. Readers should not attempt to mimic my trades as they can be volatile and financially hazardous.

The “September Spawned A Monster part II” roadmap for monday, 2014/09/22, featuring standard_and_poor

MARKET UPDATE FOR FRIDAY, 2014/09/19, AND STRATEGY FOR MONDAY:
SPX: 2010.4 -0.96, -0.05%

The market has continued rotating from the small caps into the large caps with a heavy concentration into the dow stocks as we get closer to the third quarter end, this could be a signal of bad things to come and one should stay alert.

The AAII bullish sentiment continues in uncomfortable territory and continues to pose a threat for all stocks:
Sentiment Survey Past Results
Reported Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
September 18: 42.24% 34.78% 22.98%
September 11: 40.38% 33.01% 26.60%
September 4: 44.67% 31.36% 23.96%
August 28: 51.92% 28.85% 19.23%
August 21: 46.11% 30.24% 23.65%

Heaven/hell indicator on Friday dropped to a bearish to neutral -2.
I am 102.5% invested in mostly long positions.

The Elliott “PSTT” continues on a BUY.
The short term big cap model flipped to a BUY on Thursday.
The qqq sh0rt term model finally flipped to a BUY on Thursday as well. All other short term models remain on a sell..

The “smart money indicator finally flipped to a BUY on Thursday but is favoring mostly the large cap stocks.

I will likely close some uvxy shorts on Monday morning via a twitter real time tweet.

LONG TERM FOLIOS (to be held for at least one year) AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/09/19:
1.big cap 2014/08/13 folio: -0.77%, -0.95% versus spy benchmark +0.60% since 2014/08/13 inception.
2.small cap 2014/08/13 folio: -3.16% today, -0.20% versus iwm benchmark of +0.58% since 2014/08/13 inception.
3.Small cap 2014/08/14 folio: -0.47% todau, +0.85% versus +0.51% iwm benchmark since 2014/08/14 inception.
big cap: closed with profits.
4.big cap B: -0.23% today, +22.01% versus. spy benchmark +18.69% since 2013/10/10 inception.
small cap: closed. the small cap folio of forty some stocks, with an original alloc. of 10% of total equity, opened on 2013/03/05 was closed on 2014/0710 with a 63.36% profit.
5.small cap C: -1.74% today, +18.27% versus iwm benchmark +7.38% since 2013/10/10 inception.

LONG TERM FOLIOS (to be held for at least one year) AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/07/25:
big cap: -0.35% today, +43.18% vs. spy benchmark +27.98%.
big cap B: -0.52% today, +20.62% vs. spy benchmark +16.92% since 2013/10/10 inception.
small cap: closed. the small cap folio of forty some stocks, with an original alloc. of 10% of total equity, opened on 2013/03/05 was closed on 2014/0710 with a 63.36% profit.
small cap C: -1.42% today, +17.37% vs. iwm benchmark +7.03% since 2013/10/10 inception.

A BRIEF REVIEW OF SOME PROPRIETARY INDICATORS FOR MONDAY:
(click on “ABOUT” button at top of blog page next to the ocean scene for a brief description of my indicators)
+the elliott “PSTT” switched to a BUY on 2014/08/14 and remains on a BUY. -The large cap indicator switched to a “SELL” on Friday,2014/09/12, after having been on a buy since 2014/08/15, currently at -5, up 1 from the last session.
+the large cap indicator switched to BUY today, 2014/09/18, up 16 from the last session.
+the qqq indicator has switched to a BUY on 2014/09/19 and is now at +6, up 6 from the last session.
-The gold indicator remains on a SELL at -8, up 1 from the last session.
+the intermediate term smart money indicator switched to a BUY on, 2014/09/18.
+-The heaven/hell crash indicator declined to a neutral to mildly bearish -2 as of Friday, 2014/09/19, down 6 from last Friday’s reading of +4. This reading is usually neutral to mildly bullish for the next five days about 70-80% of the time. A -10 reading predicts a start of a crash ala 2008 within days to a few weeks.
+all other long term equity indicators remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

THIS WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES (all trades, always reviewed, both profits and losses alike):
(*) denotes a new closed trade for today.
* USLV: 2.5% short. ON 2014/09/19 closed a 2.5% short allocation at 34.17 per twitter, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 6.96%/$1,740 profit.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) : On 2014/09/17 closed a 30 % long allocation at 23.80, on 2014/09/15 bought a 10% allocation of uvxy at 26.26, on 2014/09/10 bought a 20% allocation at 25.10, for a 8.98%/$8,988 loss on the 10% allocation and a 5.18%/$10.358 loss on the 20% allocation
JNUG: On 2014/09/16 a 5% short alloc. of jnug was closed at 18.79,on 2014/09/03 shorted a 5% alloc. of jnug at 21.80, for a 13.80%/$6,903 profit.
TWTR: On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of twtr at 49.00, on 2014/08/26 bought a 5% alloc. at 8.11, for a 1.89%/$945 profit.
FB: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 55 log alloc. of fb at 77.10,o n 201/09/03 bought a 5% alloc. of fb at 71.70, for a break even trade.
NFLX: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of nflx at 474.15, on 2014/08/21 bought a 5% alloc. of nflx at 472.10 per tweet, for a 0.4%/$217 profit.
TSLA: flat. On 2014/09/15 closed a 5% long alloc. of tsla at 272.45, on 2014/08/29 bought a 5% alloc. at 268.74, for a 1.38%/$690 profit.

PRIOR WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES:
UVXY: On 2014/09/12 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 25.00, On 2014/09/10 bought a 30% long allocation of uvxy at 25.10, for a loss of 0.039% or $398.
UVXY: On 2014/09/10 near the close closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 24.36, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% allocation of uvxy at 24.19 for a 0.7% loss, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% long allocation of uvxy at 24.60 for a 0.97% loss or about $970.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : on 2014/09/02 closed a 20% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.11 ,on 2014/08/28 bought a 20% long alloc. at 25.54, for a 5.48%/$10,976 loss.
JNUG: on 2014/08/28 closed a 5% short alloc. at 24.45, on 2014/08/20 shorted a 5% alloc. at 24.45, for a break even trade.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) :on 2014/08/26 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.81,on 2014/08/25 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.20 per tweet, for a 2.62%/$2,629 loss.
ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/0822 closed the last two esu14 contracts at 1986.00,holding on 2014/08/18 bought 2 contracts at 1950.25, for a 37.20% profit on margin or $3,572.
ESU14: on 2014/08/20 closed 2 esu14 contracts at 1977.00 for a 22.65% profit on margin or a $2,175 profit.
JNUG: on 2014/08/20 closed a 5% long alloc. of jnug at 24.45, on 2014/08/12 a 5% long alloc. was bought at 26.67, for a 8.32% loss/$4,162 loss.
TZA: on 2014/08/20 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. at 14.96, on 2014/08/15 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 1.64%/$821 profit.
SPY, SEPT. 2014 197 calls: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 calls at 3.00, on 2014/08/12 bought 4 at 1.645 (avg.), for a 82.37%/$542 profit..
ESU14: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 esu longs at 1973.00, one was long from 1952.25, for a $1037.5 profit; three were long from 1950.25, for a $2,375 profit. A total 17.77% profit on margin.
TZA: on 2014/08/19 closed a 5% short alloc. of tza at 14.84, on 2014/0815 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 2.43%/$1,215 profit.
ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/18 closed 8 at 1963.25, on 2014/08/18 originally bought 25 (now hold 8) at 1934.50, for a profit of $11,500 or 29.9% profit on margin, or a 1.15% profit on total portfolio.
ESU14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/15 closed 16 long contracts, at 1952.00, on 2014/08/11 bought 25 contracts of esu14 contracts at 1934.50, for a profit of $14,000 or 18.52% of margin or 1.40% profit on total portfolio.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 15% alloc at 33.27, on 2014/07/28, bought an original 30% alloc. of uvxy at 27.01, for a profit of $34,759/23.17%. on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% long uvxy alloc. at 33.27, on 2014/08/05 bought a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 36.40 per real time tweet, for a $4,295/8.59% loss.
TNA: on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/27 an original 10% alloc. of tna was shorted at 70.68, for a $625/1.25% profit.
SPXL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/30 shorted a original 10% alloc. of spxl at 77.18, for a $1690/3.38% profit.
FB: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. of fb at 73.47, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of fb at 71.99, for a $524/2.62% loss.
AAPL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. at 95.29, on 2014/08/01 a 2.5% short alloc. of aapl was added at 95.29, for a break even trade.
GOGO: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 15.55, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2.5% alloc. of gogo at 16.35, for a $978/4.89% profit.
DISCA: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 42.29, on 2014/08/07 shorted a 2.0% alloc. of disca
at a split adjusted 41.14, for a $558/2.79% loss.
AKAM: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.58, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2% alloc of akam at 56.87, for a $246/2.02% loss.
FISV: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 61.40, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of fisv was shorted at 61.43, for a break even trade.
BBY: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 29.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of bby was shorted at 29.12, for a $404/2.02% loss.
ISRG: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 442.88, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc. of isrg at 445.98, for a break even trade.
STX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.21, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of stx was shorted at 58.07, for $296/3.49% profit.
CERN: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 55.93, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of cern at 54.04, for a$698/3.49% loss.
INTC: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 32.84, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc of intc was shorted at 33.76. for a $544/2.72% profit.
MU: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 30.28, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of mu was shorted at 31.24, for a %614/3.07% profit.
SBUX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 77.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% of sbux was shorted at 77.27 per tweet, for a $112/0.56% loss.
EQIX: on 2014/08/11 closed a2.0% short alloc. at 210.57, on 2014/08/05 shorted a 2% alloc. at 208.99, for a $150/0.75% loss.

TODAY’S REAL TIME TWEETS:
None.

CURRENT TOTAL PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:
includes 5 long term folios of all long positions to be held for at least one year, each folio was originally a 10% long allocation, and the following short term positions in “current holdings” , hedgehog folio(s) with a total 4% allocation and the leveraged etf folio with a total 4% allocation . the bigcap folio started on 2013/03/05 was closed with a 48.06% profit versus spy’s +25.50% gain during the same period. Does not include Napa Valley sub account or options (if under 1% each).

100.50% invested, a decrease from the last session.

THE CURRENT HOLDINGS IN $1MM PORTFOLIO AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/09/19:
all trades are triggered by my nightly mkt. update plan unless noted other wise.
(*) denotes a change in holdings from prior trading day’s close.
1. ESZ14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): flat.
1A.UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage ) :40% short (corrected). On 2014/09/18 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.01 and a 10% allocation at 22.88. On 2014/08/17 shorted a 20% allocation at 23.80.
2. NUGT: flat.
3. TNA: flat.
3A. TZA: flat.
4: SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXS: flat.
5.JNUG: flat.
5A. JDST: flat.
6.TWTR: flat.
7. FB: flat.
8.PLUG: flat.
9. AAPL: flat.
10. NFLX: flat.
11. TSLA: flat.
*12. USLV: 2.5% short. ON 2014/09/19 closed a 2.5% short allocation at 34.17 per twitter, on 2014/09/18 shorted a 5% alloc. of uslv at 34.19, for a 6.96%/$1,740 profit.
13. SPX, SEPT. 2014 1775 puts: on 2014/08/18 bought 12 at 0.75, on 2014/08/20 bought 3 at 0.45

THE PLAN for MONDAY 2014/09/22 (current holdings,trade signal/plan, protective stops):
(*) denotes a change in position, trade signal/plan or protective stop from prior trading day’s plan.
1A: ESZ14(s&p 500 e-mini december 2014 futures): Flat. No signal.
1B: UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with 2.00 leverage): 40% short.
2. NUGT: flat. NO signal.
3. TNA: flat. No signal.
3A. TZA: flat. No signal.
4. SPXL: flat. No signal.
4A. SPXA: flat. No signal.
5. JNUG: flat. No signal.
5A. JDST: flat. No signal.
6. TWTR: flat. No signal.
7. FB: flat. O signal.
8. PLUG: flat. No signal.
9. AAPL: flat. No signal.
10. NFLX: flat. No signal.
11. TSLA: flat. No signal.
*12. USLV: flat. 2.5% short. 34.17 stop.
13. SPX, Sept. 1775 Puts (insurance against randomness and stupidity): long 10 at 0.75. long 3 at 0.45. no stop yet.

The NEW “2014/09/01 LEVERAGED ETF FOLIO” (goal is to hold for at least three months):
The following were added at the open on 2014/09/12, a 0.5% allocation of each, hence 4.00% long in aggregate:
1. DRN: long at 65.10.
2. EDC: long at 118.70.
3. ERX: long at 122.86.
4. INDL: long at 103.27.
5. LBJ: long at 30.79.
6. SOXL: long at 118.57.
7. TMF: long at 68.70.
8. XIV: (not a leveraged etf) long at 43.41.

HEDGEHOG A:
As of 2014/08/14 short a 1.0% allocation of uvxy at 24.98 and short a 3.0% allocation of tmv at 43.18.
HEDGEHOG B:
no positions yet.
ALL TARGETS AND STOPS MAY BE ADJUSTED INTRA-DAY AS MARKET CONDITIONS CHANGE. I attempt to post changes via real time
twitter tweets.

The $10,000 NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT:
(*) indicates a change in holdings, stop, or strategy.
Flat. No trades appear worth taking at the moment as the small caps and mid caps continue to meander.
To make things interesting for me I will only trades spx futures in this account for the near term and add 40k, I will usually trade 4 contracts at a maximum in either the long or short side.

CLOSED $10 K NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT TRADES:
(*)denotes a new closed trade for today:
UVXY: On 2014/08/17 closed 40 shares at 23.82, on 2014/09/09 bought 40 shares of uvxy at 24.60, for a 3.09%/$30.41 loss.
FOLD: On 2014/09/10 closed 140 shares at 7.71, On 2014/09/03 bought 40 shares of fold per tweet at 7.01, for a 2.28%/$22.40 profit.
TRUE: on 2014/09/09 closed 50 shares at 22.63, on 2014/09/02 bought 50 shares at 22.63 stop, for a profit of 8.32%/$190.40.
CENX: on 2014/09/09 closed 40 shares at 28.23, on 2014/08/26 bought 40 shares of cenx at 23.43 for a profit of 20.3%/$190.40.
ACHN: on 2014/09/05 closed 80 shares, on 2014/09/03 bought 80 shares at 12.57, for a break even trade.
ZEN: On 2014/09/05 closed 40 shares at 24.47, on 2014/09/02 bought 40 shares at 27.69 for a 10.65%/$116.80 loss.
GILD: on 2014/09/05 closed 10 shares at 106.45, on 2014/08/27 bought 10 shares of gild at 106.50, for a break even trade.
SLCA: on 2014/09/05 closed 15 shares at 66.75, on 2014/08/25 bought 15 shares of slca at 66.74. for break even.
UVXY: forgot to report yesterday, stop taken out. On 2014/09/03 closed 20 long shares at 24.12, for a 5.37%/$18 loss.
TRLA: On 2014/09/03 closed all 16 trla shares at 62.19, on 2014/08/26 bought 16 shares of trla at at 61.35, for a 1.36%/$13 profit.
HTCH: On 2014/09/03 closed all 200 shares of htch at 4.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 200 shares of htch at 4.50, for a 3.55%/$32.00 profit.
EMES: On 2014/09/03 closed all 4 shares of emes at 135.69, on 2014/08/28 bought 4 shares of emes at 135.49, for a break even trade. 0%
ATHM: on 2014/09/02 closed 20 shares at 46.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 20 shares of athm at 56.52. for a 17.50%/$198 loss.
PLNR: on 2014/08/22 closed 250 plnr at 4.35 per tweet, bought 400 at 4.16 on 2014/08/19, for a 4.56%/$47.50 profit.
AMKR: on 2014/08/22 closed 100 amkr at 10.00 per tweet, long 100 at 9.68 on 2014/08/19, for a 2.45%/$24 profit.
SUMR: on 2014/08/22 closed 240 SUMR at 4.69, on 2014/08/19 bought 240sumr at 4.08, for a 14.85%/$146 profit.
WPCS: on 2014/08/21 closed 890 at 1.02, on 2014/08/19 bought 890 at1.12, for a 8.92%/$89 loss.
PAM: on 2014/08/21 closed 100 at 9.19, on 2014/08/19 bought 100 at 9.76, for a 5.84%/$57 loss.
CIG: on 2014/08/21 closed 120 at 8.77, on 2014/08/19 bought 120 at 8.64, for a 1.50%/$15.60 profit.

click on the “ABOUT” button to the right of the “home” button at top of ocean background for indicator details.
sign up for live twitter alerts to be informed of my trades, change in tactics and to be alerted real-time when daily market updates are posted, all for educational purposes solely.
http://www.Twitter.com: @S_AND_P
to obtain real-time texts of my twitter tweets on any smart phone go to twitter.com, click on pin wheel to the left of the quill pen (same pin wheel used to sign off), click twitter “settings”, click on “mobile” to activate twitter text messaging by entering your country and phone number. no one but twitter will have access to phone numbers.
Disclaimer:
This is my on-line trading journal. Standardpoor.wordpress.com, my on-line trading journal or blog, is purely for educational purposes only. Information from this blog and blogs that I follow (listed here) is not investment advice and should not be misconstrued as investment advice from this blog owner. Readers should not attempt to mimic my trades as they can be volatile and financially hazardous.

The “September Spawned A Monster” roadmap featuring standard_and _poor

MARKET UPDATE FOR FRIDAY, 2014/09/12, AND STRATEGY FOR MONDAY:
SPX: 1985.66, -11.91, +0.60%

Continuing to administer precautions against short term declines, maintaining a 20% allocation in uvxy longs from last week and adding more on Monday if the necessary conditions present themselves; I need to have the spx continue to prove itself prior to adding more uvxy longs. I found it necessary to unload a 10% allocation of uvxy longs in the face of Friday morning’s spx stall and stronger than expected retail data.
The proprietary smart money indicator , an intermediate term indicator, continues on a SELL since 2014/09/09.
Short term equity models continue to languish, with both the qqq and the big cap models on a SELL.
The short-term gold model remains at -10, on a strong sell.
The Elliott “PSTT” remains on the verge of a SELL.

The better investors/money managers are the ones that can identify the start of a long-term trend and remain steadfast and stay with that trend, the best money managers identify and stay with the trend but also find a way to benefit from volatility and short term changes in the trend and can identify early changes in the existing long-term trend. Let’s see how the anticipated downdraft continues to unfold, it will be interesting as usual. How invigorating is the life of an investor/trader to live in interesting times. I never wanted to be rich, I am not naturally self interested or greedy. I was supposed to grow up to be a philosopher/“champagne socialist”.

If I am stopped out of my four 5% long allocations (twtr, tsla, fb and nflx ) it will be with small profits.

In the nappa valley folio I am leading the spx since I started the folio on 2014/08/09 but I have to admit it has been tough for me to get the high returns I obtained when I last used this methodology in the late 1990’s, a time when everything was flying by leaps and bounds – remember the internet stocks easily jumping through hoops, increasing 5% to 10% in a single day.

A BRIEF REVIEW OF SOME PROPRIETARY INDICATORS FOR MONDAY:
(click on “ABOUT” button at top of blog page next to the ocean scene for a brief description of my indicators)
+the elliott “PSTT” switched to a BUY on 2014/08/14 and remains on a BUY. A CLOSE BELOW SPX 1982.05 WILL TRIGGER A SELL.
-The large cap indicator switched to a “SELL” on Friday,2014/09/12, after having been on a buy since 2014/08/15, currently at -6, down 1 from the last session.
-the qqq indicator has switched to a SELL on 2014/09/11 and is now at -7, up 1 from the last session.
-The gold indicator remains on a SELL at -10, unchanged from the last session.
-the intermediate term smart money indicator switched to a SELL on, 2014/09/09, from a BUY on 2014/08/08.
+-The heaven/hell crash indicator declined to a neutral to mildly bullish +4 as of Friday, 2014/09/12, down 2 from last Friday. This reading is usually neutral to mildly bullish for the next five days about 70-80% of the time. A -10 reading predicts a start of a crash ala 2008 within days to a few weeks.
+all other long term equity indicators remain on a BUY since spring of 2009.

THIS WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES (all trades, always reviewed, both profits and losses alike):
(*) denotes a new closed trade for today.
*UVXY: On 2014/09/12 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 25.00, On 2014/09/10 bought a 30% long allocation of uvxy at 25.10, for a loss of 0.039% or $398.
UVXY: On 2014/09/10 near the close closed a 10% long allocation of uvxy at 24.36, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% allocation of uvxy at 24.19 for a 0.7% loss, on 2014/09/09 bought a 5% long allocation of uvxy at 24.60 for a 0.97% loss or about $970.

PRIOR WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES:
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : on 2014/09/02 closed a 20% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.11 ,on 2014/08/28 bought a 20% long alloc. at 25.54, for a 5.48%/$10,976 loss.
JNUG: on 2014/08/28 closed a 5% short alloc. at 24.45, on 2014/08/20 shorted a 5% alloc. at 24.45, for a break even trade.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) :on 2014/08/26 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.81,on 2014/08/25 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.20 per tweet, for a 2.62%/$2,629 loss.
ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/0822 closed the last two esu14 contracts at 1986.00,holding on 2014/08/18 bought 2 contracts at 1950.25, for a 37.20% profit on margin or $3,572.
ESU14: on 2014/08/20 closed 2 esu14 contracts at 1977.00 for a 22.65% profit on margin or a $2,175 profit.
JNUG: on 2014/08/20 closed a 5% long alloc. of jnug at 24.45, on 2014/08/12 a 5% long alloc. was bought at 26.67, for a 8.32% loss/$4,162 loss.
TZA: on 2014/08/20 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. at 14.96, on 2014/08/15 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 1.64%/$821 profit.
SPY, SEPT. 2014 197 calls: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 calls at 3.00, on 2014/08/12 bought 4 at 1.645 (avg.), for a 82.37%/$542 profit..
ESU14: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 esu longs at 1973.00, one was long from 1952.25, for a $1037.5 profit; three were long from 1950.25, for a $2,375 profit. A total 17.77% profit on margin.
TZA: on 2014/08/19 closed a 5% short alloc. of tza at 14.84, on 2014/0815 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 2.43%/$1,215 profit.
ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/18 closed 8 at 1963.25, on 2014/08/18 originally bought 25 (now hold 8) at 1934.50, for a profit of $11,500 or 29.9% profit on margin, or a 1.15% profit on total portfolio.
ESU14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/15 closed 16 long contracts, at 1952.00, on 2014/08/11 bought 25 contracts of esu14 contracts at 1934.50, for a profit of $14,000 or 18.52% of margin or 1.40% profit on total portfolio.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 15% alloc at 33.27, on 2014/07/28, bought an original 30% alloc. of uvxy at 27.01, for a profit of $34,759/23.17%. on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% long uvxy alloc. at 33.27, on 2014/08/05 bought a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 36.40 per real time tweet, for a $4,295/8.59% loss.
TNA: on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/27 an original 10% alloc. of tna was shorted at 70.68, for a $625/1.25% profit.
SPXL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/30 shorted a original 10% alloc. of spxl at 77.18, for a $1690/3.38% profit.
FB: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. of fb at 73.47, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of fb at 71.99, for a $524/2.62% loss.
AAPL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. at 95.29, on 2014/08/01 a 2.5% short alloc. of aapl was added at 95.29, for a break even trade.
GOGO: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 15.55, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2.5% alloc. of gogo at 16.35, for a $978/4.89% profit.
DISCA: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 42.29, on 2014/08/07 shorted a 2.0% alloc. of disca
at a split adjusted 41.14, for a $558/2.79% loss.
AKAM: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.58, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2% alloc of akam at 56.87, for a $246/2.02% loss.
FISV: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 61.40, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of fisv was shorted at 61.43, for a break even trade.
BBY: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 29.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of bby was shorted at 29.12, for a $404/2.02% loss.
ISRG: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 442.88, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc. of isrg at 445.98, for a break even trade.
STX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.21, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of stx was shorted at 58.07, for $296/3.49% profit.
CERN: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 55.93, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of cern at 54.04, for a$698/3.49% loss.
INTC: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 32.84, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc of intc was shorted at 33.76. for a $544/2.72% profit.
MU: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 30.28, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of mu was shorted at 31.24, for a %614/3.07% profit.
SBUX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 77.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% of sbux was shorted at 77.27 per tweet, for a $112/0.56% loss.
EQIX: on 2014/08/11 closed a2.0% short alloc. at 210.57, on 2014/08/05 shorted a 2% alloc. at 208.99, for a $150/0.75% loss.

TODAY’S REAL TIME TWEETS:

CURRENT TOTAL PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:
includes 5 long term folios of all long positions to be held for at least one year, each folio was originally a 10% long allocation, and the following short term positions in “current holdings” , hedgehog folio(s) and the leveraged etf folio with a total 4% allocation . the bigcap folio started on 2013/03/05 was closed with a 48.06% profit versus spy’s +25.50% gain during the same period. Does not include Napa Valley sub account or options (if under 1% each).
119.0% invested, a decrease from the last session.

THE CURRENT HOLDINGS IN $1MM PORTFOLIO AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/09/12:
all trades are triggered by my nightly mkt. update plan unless noted other wise.
(*) denotes a change in holdings from prior trading day’s close.
1. ESZ14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): flat.
*1A.UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : 20% long. On 2014/09/12 closed a 10% long alloc. of uvxy per real time tweet at 25.00, On 2014/09/10 bought a 30% long allocation of uvxy at 25.10, for a loss of 0.039% or $398.
2. NUGT: flat.
3. TNA: flat.
3A. TZA: flat.
4: SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXS: flat.
5.JNUG: 5% short. On 2014/09/03 shorted a 5% alloc. of jnug at 21.80.
5A. JDST: flat.
6.TWTR: 5% long. On 2014/08/26 bought a 5% alloc. at 48.11.
7. FB: 5% long. On 201/09/03 bought a 5% alloc. of fb at 71.70..
8.PLUG: flat.
9. AAPL: flat.
10. NFLX: 5% long. On 2014/08/21 bought a 5% alloc. of nflx at 472.10 per tweet.
11. TSLA: 5% long . On 2014/08/29 bought a 5% alloc. at 268.74.
12. GOGO: flat.
13. SPX, SEPT. 2014 1775 puts: on 2014/08/18 bought 12 at 0.75, on 2014/08/20 bought 3 at 0.45

THE PLAN for MONDAY 2014/09/15 (current holdings,trade signal/plan, protective stops):
(*) denotes a change in position, trade signal/plan or protective stop from prior trading day’s plan.
1A: ESZ14(s&p 500 e-mini december 2014 futures): Flat. No signal.
*1B: UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): 20% long. 23.33 stop. Buying a 10% alloc. on a break of spx 1979.00.
2. NUGT: flat. No signal.
3. TNA: flat. No signal.
3A. TZA: flat. No signal.
4. SPXL: flat. No signal.
4A. SPXA: flat. No signal.
5. JNUG: 5% short. 18.76 stop.
5A. JDST: flat. No signal.
6. TWTR: 5% long. 49.02 stop.
*7. FB: 5% long. 77.11 stop.
8. PLUG: flat. No signal.
9. AAPL: flat. No signal.
10. NFLX: 5% long at 472.10 per real time tweet. 474.18 stop.
11. TSLA: 5% long. 272.48 stop.
12. GOGO: flat. No signal.
13. SPX, Sept. 1775 puts (insurance against randomness and stupidity): long 10 at 0.75. long 3 at 0.45. no stop yet.

The NEW “2014/09/01 LEVERAGED ETF FOLIO” (goal is to hold for at least three months):
The following were added at today’s open,2014/09/12, a 0.5% allocation of each:
1. DRN: long at 65.10.
2. EDC: long at 118.70.
3. ERX: long at 122.86.
4. INDL: long at 103.27.
5. LBJ: long at 30.79.
6. SOXL: long at 118.57.
7. TMF: long at 68.70.
8. XIV: (not a leveraged etf) long at 43.41.

HEDGEHOG A:
As of 2014/08/14 short a 1.0% allocation of uvxy at 24.98 and short a 3.0% allocation of tmv at 43.18.
HEDGEHOG B:
no positions yet.
ALL TARGETS AND STOPS MAY BE ADJUSTED INTRA-DAY AS MARKET CONDITIONS CHANGE. I attempt to post changes via real time
twitter tweets.

The $10,000 NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT:
(*) indicates a change in holdings, stop, or strategy.
*1. UVXY: long 40shares. On 2014/09/09 bought 40 shares of uvxy at 24.60. Maintain 23.33 stop.

CLOSED $10 K NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT TRADES:
(*)denotes a new closed trade for today:
FOLD: flat. On 2014/09/10 closed 140 shares at 7.71, On 2014/09/03 bought 40 shares of fold per tweet at 7.01, for a 2.28%/$22.40 profit.
TRUE: on 2014/09/09 closed 50 shares at 22.63, on 2014/09/02 bought 50 shares at 22.63 stop, for a profit of 8.32%/$190.40.
CENX: on 2014/09/09 closed 40 shares at 28.23, on 2014/08/26 bought 40 shares of cenx at 23.43 for a profit of 20.3%/$190.40.
ACHN: on 2014/09/05 closed 80 shares, on 2014/09/03 bought 80 shares at 12.57, for a break even trade.
ZEN: On 2014/09/05 closed 40 shares at 24.47, on 2014/09/02 bought 40 shares at 27.69 for a 10.65%/$116.80 loss.
GILD: on 2014/09/05 closed 10 shares at 106.45, on 2014/08/27 bought 10 shares of gild at 106.50, for a break even trade.
SLCA: on 2014/09/05 closed 15 shares at 66.75, on 2014/08/25 bought 15 shares of slca at 66.74. for break even.
UVXY: forgot to report yesterday, stop taken out. On 2014/09/03 closed 20 long shares at 24.12, for a 5.37%/$18 loss.
TRLA: On 2014/09/03 closed all 16 trla shares at 62.19, on 2014/08/26 bought 16 shares of trla at at 61.35, for a 1.36%/$13 profit.
HTCH: On 2014/09/03 closed all 200 shares of htch at 4.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 200 shares of htch at 4.50, for a 3.55%/$32.00 profit.
EMES: On 2014/09/03 closed all 4 shares of emes at 135.69, on 2014/08/28 bought 4 shares of emes at 135.49, for a break even trade. 0%
ATHM: on 2014/09/02 closed 20 shares at 46.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 20 shares of athm at 56.52. for a 17.50%/$198 loss.
PLNR: on 2014/08/22 closed 250 plnr at 4.35 per tweet, bought 400 at 4.16 on 2014/08/19, for a 4.56%/$47.50 profit.
AMKR: on 2014/08/22 closed 100 amkr at 10.00 per tweet, long 100 at 9.68 on 2014/08/19, for a 2.45%/$24 profit.
SUMR: on 2014/08/22 closed 240 SUMR at 4.69, on 2014/08/19 bought 240sumr at 4.08, for a 14.85%/$146 profit.
WPCS: on 2014/08/21 closed 890 at 1.02, on 2014/08/19 bought 890 at1.12, for a 8.92%/$89 loss.
PAM: on 2014/08/21 closed 100 at 9.19, on 2014/08/19 bought 100 at 9.76, for a 5.84%/$57 loss.
CIG: on 2014/08/21 closed 120 at 8.77, on 2014/08/19 bought 120 at 8.64, for a 1.50%/$15.60 profit.

click on the “ABOUT” button to the right of the “home” button at top of ocean background for indicator details.
sign up for live twitter alerts to be informed of my trades, change in tactics and to be alerted real-time when daily market updates are posted, all for educational purposes solely.
http://www.Twitter.com: @S_AND_P
to obtain real-time texts of my twitter tweets on any smart phone go to twitter.com, click on pin wheel to the left of the quill pen (same pin wheel used to sign off), click twitter “settings”, click on “mobile” to activate twitter text messaging by entering your country and phone number. no one but twitter will have access to phone numbers.
Disclaimer:
This is my on-line trading journal. Standardpoor.wordpress.com, my on-line trading journal or blog, is purely for educational purposes only. Information from this blog and blogs that I follow (listed here) is not investment advice and should not be misconstrued as investment advice from this blog owner. Readers should not attempt to mimic my trades as they can be volatile and financially hazardous.

The “More You Ignore Me” roadmap for monday, 2014/09/08, featuring standard_and_poor

MARKET UPDATE FOR FRIDAY, 2014/09/05, AND STRATEGY FOR MONDAY:
SPX: 200707, +10.06, +0.50%

Last week’s heaven/hell indicator correctly predicted a higher spx close for the week. Today’s proprietary heaven/hell crash indicator has declined to +6 from last Friday’s +10, which is still bullish. Although, the proprietary intermediate term smart money indicator is now in over-bought territory I am taking a swing in adding a few more longs via shorting uvxy (trades inverse to spx).

No shorting is planned for Monday.

Long term, the next several months ahead continue to look rosy, all long term indicators remain on a BUY with continuing confirmations. I still remain vigilant in case of a short term correction especially with the smart money indicator in over bought-terrain.
The euroland’s decision to buy corporate bonds will eventually serve to support our markets as well, although for the short term the major euorpean stock markets appear very toppy.

I will be giving the Napa Valley trades a rest.

A BRIEF REVIEW OF SOME PROPRIETARY INDICATORS FOR MONDAY:
(click on “ABOUT” button at top of blog page next to the ocean scene for a brief description of my indicators)
+the elliott “PSTT” switched to a BUY on 2014/08/14 and remains on a BUY.
+The large cap indicator switched to a “BUY” on Friday, 2014/08/15, currently at +8, unchanged from the last session.
+the qqq indicator is on a tenuous BUY -5, down 13 from the last session.
-The gold indicator remains on a SELL at -9, unchanged from the last session.
+the intermediate term smart money indicator switched to a BUY on 2014/08/08 after having spent a few weeks in neutral territory, and is now in definite over bought territory and may soon signal a sell.
+The heaven/hell crash indicator is at a mildly bullish +6 as of Friday, 2014/09/05, down 4 from last Friday. This reading is usually mildly bullish for the next five days about 70-80% of the time. A -10 reading predicts a start of a crash ala 2008 within days to a few weeks .
+all other long term equity indicators remain on a BUY since early 2009.

THIS WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES (all trades, always reviewed, both profits and losses alike):
(*) denotes a new closed trade for today.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : on 2014/09/02 closed a 20% long alloc. of uvxy at 24.11 ,on 2014/08/28 bought a 20% long alloc. at 25.54, for a 5.48%/$10,976 loss.

PRIOR WEEK’S CLOSED TRADES:
JNUG: on 2014/08/28 closed a 5% short alloc. at 24.45, on 2014/08/20 shorted a 5% alloc. at 24.45, for a break even trade.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) :on 2014/08/26 closed a 10% short allocation at 23.81,on 2014/08/25 shorted a 10% alloc. at 23.20 per tweet, for a 2.62%/$2,629 loss.
ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/0822 closed the last two esu14 contracts at 1986.00,holding on 2014/08/18 bought 2 contracts at 1950.25, for a 37.20% profit on margin or $3,572.
ESU14: on 2014/08/20 closed 2 esu14 contracts at 1977.00 for a 22.65% profit on margin or a $2,175 profit.
JNUG: on 2014/08/20 closed a 5% long alloc. of jnug at 24.45, on 2014/08/12 a 5% long alloc. was bought at 26.67, for a 8.32% loss/$4,162 loss.
TZA: on 2014/08/20 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. at 14.96, on 2014/08/15 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 1.64%/$821 profit.
SPY, SEPT. 2014 197 calls: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 calls at 3.00, on 2014/08/12 bought 4 at 1.645 (avg.), for a 82.37%/$542 profit..
ESU14: on 2014/08/19 closed 4 esu longs at 1973.00, one was long from 1952.25, for a $1037.5 profit; three were long from 1950.25, for a $2,375 profit. A total 17.77% profit on margin.
TZA: on 2014/08/19 closed a 5% short alloc. of tza at 14.84, on 2014/0815 shorted an original 10% alloc. at 15.21, for a 2.43%/$1,215 profit.
ESU14: (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/18 closed 8 at 1963.25, on 2014/08/18 originally bought 25 (now hold 8) at 1934.50, for a profit of $11,500 or 29.9% profit on margin, or a 1.15% profit on total portfolio.
ESU14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): on 2014/08/15 closed 16 long contracts, at 1952.00, on 2014/08/11 bought 25 contracts of esu14 contracts at 1934.50, for a profit of $14,000 or 18.52% of margin or 1.40% profit on total portfolio.
UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 15% alloc at 33.27, on 2014/07/28, bought an original 30% alloc. of uvxy at 27.01, for a profit of $34,759/23.17%. on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% long uvxy alloc. at 33.27, on 2014/08/05 bought a 5% long alloc. of uvxy at 36.40 per real time tweet, for a $4,295/8.59% loss.
TNA: on 2014/08/11 closed a remaining 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/27 an original 10% alloc. of tna was shorted at 70.68, for a $625/1.25% profit.
SPXL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 5% short alloc. of tna at 69.76, on 2014/07/30 shorted a original 10% alloc. of spxl at 77.18, for a $1690/3.38% profit.
FB: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. of fb at 73.47, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of fb at 71.99, for a $524/2.62% loss.
AAPL: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2% short alloc. at 95.29, on 2014/08/01 a 2.5% short alloc. of aapl was added at 95.29, for a break even trade.
GOGO: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.5% short alloc. at 15.55, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2.5% alloc. of gogo at 16.35, for a $978/4.89% profit.
DISCA: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 42.29, on 2014/08/07 shorted a 2.0% alloc. of disca
at a split adjusted 41.14, for a $558/2.79% loss.
AKAM: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.58, on 2014/08/04 shorted a 2% alloc of akam at 56.87, for a $246/2.02% loss.
FISV: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 61.40, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of fisv was shorted at 61.43, for a break even trade.
BBY: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 29.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of bby was shorted at 29.12, for a $404/2.02% loss.
ISRG: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 442.88, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc. of isrg at 445.98, for a break even trade.
STX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 57.21, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of stx was shorted at 58.07, for $296/3.49% profit.
CERN: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 55.93, on 2014/08/06 shorted a 2% alloc of cern at 54.04, for a$698/3.49% loss.
INTC: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 32.84, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc of intc was shorted at 33.76. for a $544/2.72% profit.
MU: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc at 30.28, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% alloc. of mu was shorted at 31.24, for a %614/3.07% profit.
SBUX: on 2014/08/11 closed a 2.0% short alloc. at 77.71, on 2014/08/04 a 2.0% of sbux was shorted at 77.27 per tweet, for a $112/0.56% loss.
EQIX: on 2014/08/11 closed a2.0% short alloc. at 210.57, on 2014/08/05 shorted a 2% alloc. at 208.99, for a $150/0.75% loss.

TODAY’S REAL TIME TWEETS:
None.

CURRENT TOTAL PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:
includes 5 long term folios of all long positions to be held for at least one year, each folio was originally a 10% long allocation, and the following short term positions in “current holdings” , hedgehog folio(s) and the leveraged etf folio with a total 4% allocation . the bigcap folio started on 2013/03/05 was closed with a 48.06% profit versus spy’s +25.50% gain during the same period. Does not include Napa Valley sub account or options (if under a fraction of 1% each).
89.0% invested.

THE CURRENT HOLDINGS IN $1MM PORTFOLIO AS OF FRIDAY’S CLOSE, 2014/09/05:
all trades are triggered by my nightly mkt. update plan unless noted other wise.
(*) denotes a change in holdings from prior trading day’s close.
1. ESZ14 (s&p 500 e-mini futures, each point is worth $50.00): flat.
1A.UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage) : Flat 2. NUGT: flat.
3. TNA: flat.
3A. TZA: flat.
4: SPXL: flat.
4A. SPXS: flat.
5.JNUG: 5% short. On 2014/09/03 shorted a 5% alloc. of jnug at 21.80.
5A. JDST: flat.
6.TWTR: 5% long. On 2014/08/26 bought a 5% alloc. at 48.11.
7. FB: 5% long. On 201/09/03 bought a 5% alloc. of fb at 71.70..
8.PLUG: flat.
9. AAPL: flat.
10. NFLX: 5% long. On 2014/08/21 bought a 5% alloc. of nflx at 472.10 per tweet.
11. TSLA: 5% long . On 2014/08/29 bought a 5% alloc. at 268.74.
12. GOGO: flat.
13. FB. 5% long. On 2014/09/03 bought a 5% allocation at 77.10.
14. SPX, SEPT. 2014 1775 puts: on 2014/08/18 bought 12 at 0.75, on 2014/08/20 bought 3 at 0.45

THE PLAN for MONDAY 2014/09/08 (current holdings,trade signal/plan, protective stops):
(*) denotes a change in position, trade signal/plan or protective stop from prior trading day’s plan.
*1A: ESZ14(s&p 500 e-mini december 2014 futures): Flat. No signal.
*1B: UVXY(usually trades inverse to spx with leverage): Flat. Shorting (not buying) a 10% allocation at 23.33.
2. NUGT: flat. No signal.
3. TNA: flat. No signal.
3A. TZA: flat. No signal.
4. SPXL: flat. No signal.
4A. SPXA: flat. No signal.
5. JNUG: 5% short. No stop yet.
5A. JDST: flat. No signal.
6.TWTR: 5% long. 44.64 stop.
7. FB: 5% long. 71.70stop.
8. PLUG: flat. No signal.
9. AAPL: flat. No signal.
10. NFLX: 5% long at 472.10 per real time tweet. 448.55 stop.
11. TSLA: 5% long. 249.00 stop.
12. GOGO: flat. No signal.
13. FB: 5% long.
14. SPX, Sept. 1775 puts (insurance against randomness and stupidity): long 10 at 0.75. long 3 at 0.45. no stop yet.

The NEW “2014/09/01 LEVERAGED ETF FOLIO” (goal is to hold for at least three months):
The following were added at today’s open,2014/09/12, a 0.5% allocation of each:
1. DRN: long at 65.10.
2. EDC: long at 118.70.
3. ERX: long at 122.86.
4. INDL: long at 103.27.
5. LBJ: long at 30.79.
6. SOXL: long at 118.57.
7. TMF: long at 68.70.
8. XIV: (not a leveraged etf) long at 43.41.

HEDGEHOG A:
As of 2014/08/14 short a 1.0% allocation of uvxy at 24.98 and short a 3.0% allocation of tmv (not tza) at 43.18.
HEDGEHOG B:
no positions yet.
ALL TARGETS AND STOPS MAY BE ADJUSTED INTRA-DAY AS MARKET CONDITIONS CHANGE. I attempt to post changes via real time
twitter tweets.

The $10,000 NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT:
(*) indicates a change in holdings, stop, or strategy.
*1. UVXY: Flat. Shorting (not buying) 40 shares at 23.33.
*2. SLCA: flat.
3. CENX: long 40 shares. On 2014/08/26 bought 40 shares of cenx at 23.43. 27.24 stop.
*4. GILD: flat.
5. TRUE: long 50 shares. On 2014/09/02 bought 50 shares at 20.89. 20.90 stop.
*6. ZEN: flat.
*7. ACHN: flat.
8. FOLD: long 140 shares. On 2014/09/03 bought 40 shares of fold per tweet at 7.01. 6.83 stop.

CLOSED $10 K NAPA VALLEY SUB ACCOUNT TRADES:
(*)denotes a new closed trade for today.
*. ACHN: on 2014/09/05 closed 80 shares, on 2014/09/03 bought 80 shares at 12.57, for a break even trade.
* ZEN: On 2014/09/05 closed 40 shares at 24.47, on 2014/09/02 bought 40 shares at 27.69 for a 10.65%/$116.80 loss.
* GILD: on 2014/09/05 closed 10 shares at 106.45, on 2014/08/27 bought 10 shares of gild at 106.50, for a break even trade.
* SLCA: on 2014/09/05 closed 15 shares at 66.75, on 2014/08/25 bought 15 shares of slca at 66.74. for break even.
UVXY: forgot to report yesterday, stop taken out. On 2014/09/03 closed 20 long shares at 24.12, for a 5.37%/$18 loss.
TRLA: On 2014/09/03 closed all 16 trla shares at 62.19, on 2014/08/26 bought 16 shares of trla at at 61.35, for a 1.36%/$13 profit.
HTCH: On 2014/09/03 closed all 200 shares of htch at 4.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 200 shares of htch at 4.50, for a 3.55%/$32.00 profit.
EMES: On 2014/09/03 closed all 4 shares of emes at 135.69, on 2014/08/28 bought 4 shares of emes at 135.49, for a break even trade. 0%
ATHM: on 2014/09/02 closed 20 shares at 46.66, on 2014/08/27 bought 20 shares of athm at 56.52. for a 17.50%/$198 loss.
PLNR: on 2014/08/22 closed 250 plnr at 4.35 per tweet, bought 400 at 4.16 on 2014/08/19, for a 4.56%/$47.50 profit.
AMKR: on 2014/08/22 closed 100 amkr at 10.00 per tweet, long 100 at 9.68 on 2014/08/19, for a 2.45%/$24 profit.
SUMR: on 2014/08/22 closed 240 SUMR at 4.69, on 2014/08/19 bought 240sumr at 4.08, for a 14.85%/$146 profit.
WPCS: on 2014/08/21 closed 890 at 1.02, on 2014/08/19 bought 890 at1.12, for a 8.92%/$89 loss.
PAM: on 2014/08/21 closed 100 at 9.19, on 2014/08/19 bought 100 at 9.76, for a 5.84%/$57 loss.
CIG: on 2014/08/21 closed 120 at 8.77, on 2014/08/19 bought 120 at 8.64, for a 1.50%/$15.60 profit.

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Disclaimer:
This is my on-line trading journal. Standardpoor.wordpress.com, my on-line trading journal or blog, is purely for educational purposes only. Information from this blog and blogs that I follow (listed here) is not investment advice and should not be misconstrued as investment advice from this blog owner. Readers should not attempt to mimic my trades as they can be volatile and financially hazardous.

more data will be added later.