Category Archives: psychology of trading

SUSPICIOUS MINDS: roadmap for fri. 1/6/2012

september 21, 2011 to january 05, 2012 tna portfolio performance:

roadmap longs have been reduced from a maximum long exposure of 95% at 1166 spx on 11/23/11 to zero% at 1282.6 on 01/03/12.

at a close above 1293 spx i will return to long and it (1293) will serve as confirmation that wave 3 of intermediate wave 3 is in progress.
i’ll probably get renewed short signals in the tna and drn portfolio tomorrow but i’m cautious and suspicious about being short below 1255 spx.

keep watching the new short term gold portfolio, the trading system is new but it should be exciting to watch.

from the prior comments section:
1)January 3, 2012 at 3:09 am
“i’m buying a 50% long postion of $nugt on a 20.19 stop for tuesday only, for the new short term gold portfolio.”
2) January 6, 2012 at 12:04 am:
‘drn short stopped at 51.40 from 52.31 for a 1.73% profit.
tna short from 48.57 stopped out at 47.28 for a 1.29% profit.
nugt is still long from 21.00, closed at 22.19 today.”
3)January 3, 2012 at 10:35 am
“closing out remaining 10% allocation of roadmap longs at spx
1282.61.”
4)
“you can give a trader the world’s best trading system but how he/she manages it is the real key, the key is not the trading
system in my opinion.”

portfolios:
all portfolios are now flat (drn and tna shorts were closed yesterday) except for a 50% long position in the new short term gold portfolio. high risk portfolios, value portfolio and medium risk portfolio were closed with profits(see prior posts) , smaller than i hoped but with profits. the tna and drn as well as the roadmap portfolios have posted exceptional profits but luck and rivers run dry at times and a big ego won’t rain profits or sweet water. as a bum hiding out in a rich man’s abandoned root cellar i just hope sir clarence keeps having those fancy dinner parties with throw-away lobster and vegetarian dinners for more garbage diving; the red meat just isn’t good for my cholesterol.

i am still upgrading my proprietary fear/greed indicator and you will get email updates and interpretation as how i use it but not the components of the indicator. you will gain a whole new perspective into trading and won’t need the indicator or its components and code after a few days or weeks of interpretation. just give me a few more weeks of time.

in response to a reader’s question: i have no plans for turning this blog or related emails into fee based sevices, i don’t have those kind of monetary motives for writing this blog. you get what you give and the “about button at the top leads to further details.

as usual, i will provide updates within the comments section.

POSSIBLY MAYBE: standard_ and_ poor roadmap for tues. 01/03/2012.

POSSIBLY MAYBE IS A PERFECT TITLE FOR THIS POST:

we’re at a crossroad where anything could happen but where the odds are currently at least 60% for a downturn to at least 1230 spx. once the down turn wave is complete the odds are very high for an impulse wave continuation and a start of wave 3 of intermediate wave 3. a move above 1269 spx , or even a close above 1269, on tuesday wouldn’t concern me.
we are in a grey area where i prefer to reduce risk, not add to it; neither shorts nor longs are viable to me at this point. only exposed portfolio is the roadmap at 10% long, all other portfolios are flat.

since i’ve started posting in early sept., 2011 the markets have been flat but i’ve managed to earn a decent total portfolio profit. the tna and drn portfolios brought in the the highest returns; i’ll present updated spread sheets for tna in the next post. for many traders profits are the ultimate goal but i can be just as happy without material goods and profits and have been. once you can achieve this state of mind you can become a better trader because you will look at your trades differently. FEED YOUR MIND AND NEIGHBOR NOT YOUR EGO,WALLET, BELLY, ETC. AND YOU WILL LEARN TO ACHIEVE A HIGHER LEVEL OF TRADING AND BLISS – i promise.

again, read the comment section as that is the best form of timely updates if my busy schedule permits; i’m a happy bum hiding/living under a rich man’s deck but with a tight schedule. excuse me while i forage in the manor’s garbage for some throw away caviar and smoked salmon, i’ll have to fight off the neighbor hood’s biggest cats.